Oil and gas reserves roll-forward
PD, PUD, 1P and 2P from one year to the next.
By Surojit Chakraverti, founder of L3VLUP and an investor running a long-short healthcare and technology equities strategy.
On this subject: oil and gas reserves roll-forward.Updated 5 November 2026
Part of project finance and infrastructure models, with the models, labs and guides around it.
What it does
The reserves a producer reports each year, and why they move. Proved developed (PD) reserves fall with production, move with price revisions (price sets when a producing well stops being economic) and rise as drilling converts undeveloped locations. Proved undeveloped (PUD) reserves are locations booked times the EUR of a well; drilling one moves its EUR from PUD to PD, which leaves 1P unchanged, and extensions book new locations upgraded from probable. Probable reserves added to 1P give 2P. Reserve life is closing reserves over the year’s production, and the reserve replacement ratio is reserves added over reserves produced.
Where it lives
The same schedule in each model that carries it, with the rows to open. Open a model in the browser, go to the sheet, and click the lines.
- Assumptions, rows 41–47: PUD locations booked, FY0, Locations added to PUD, Probable reserves, FY0, Discoveries added to probable reserves…
- Reserves, rows 6–11: Price revisions, selected deck, Opening PD reserves, Less: production, Revisions…
- Reserves, rows 14–24: Opening PUD locations, Less: drilled, Added by extensions, Closing PUD locations…
- Reserves, rows 27–33: Opening 1P reserves, Less: production, Revisions, Extensions and discoveries…
- Reserves, rows 36–41: Opening probable reserves, Discoveries, Less: upgraded to proved, Closing probable reserves…
- Reserves, rows 44–47: Reserve life, 1P (R/P), Reserve life, PD, Reserve life, 2P, Reserve replacement ratio, 1P
What a reviewer looks for
- Conversions from PUD to PD counted as additions to 1P.
- PUD reserves that no longer equal the locations left times the EUR.
- A reserve life on 2P compared with a peer’s on 1P.
Learn it, then build it
Vocabulary: Proved Reserves (1P and 2P).