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Atlas

Founders and companies

How companies are started, scaled and sometimes lost, in the founders’ own words.

  • Post-mortemFounders and companiesDocumentary

    A board that accepts a narrative has stopped doing diligence

    A compelling story is a claim to test, and the test for a technology is watching it work.

    Venture and growth diligence, and any investment where the case rests on a founder's account of something that cannot yet be seen.

    From The Inventor: Out for Blood in Silicon Valley · 2019

  • FrameworkAccountingDocumentary

    An adjusted metric is an argument about what should not count

    Judge an adjustment by whether an owner of the whole business would also get to ignore the cost.

    Reading any earnings release, pitch deck or S-1 that leads with a non-GAAP measure.

    From WeWork: Or the Making and Breaking of a $47 Billion Unicorn · 2021

  • TechniqueProductBook

    Ask about what people already did, never about what they would do

    Evidence about demand comes from what people have already done and paid for, not from what they say they would do.

    Customer discovery, commercial due diligence, and any interview that asks how you would validate a product idea.

    From The Mom Test · Rob Fitzpatrick

  • Company insightGrowth and business modelsLetter located

    Forgo the revenue you could capture if the platform grows more by letting others earn it

    A platform that lets others earn on it grows faster than one that captures every dollar; the forgone revenue is the investment.

    Platform strategy, take-rate questions, and any marketplace where the company could raise its share of the transaction.

    From Shopify's 2015 IPO letter from Tobi Lütke · Tobi Lütke

  • Decision principleFounders and companiesLetter located

    Given a choice between flattering earnings and future cash flows, take the cash flows

    Tell investors in advance that you will optimise long-term cash flows over reported earnings, then do it, so the market can price the choice rather than be surprised by it.

    Any growth company valuation, any founder letter, and the interview question of how to value a company that reports no profit.

    From Amazon's 1997 letter to shareholders · Jeff Bezos

  • Case studyAccountingBook

    Growth consumes cash, and a profitable company can still run out

    Profit is not cash, and growth widens the gap; model the cash a business needs to grow before admiring its sales.

    Any three-statement question, any growth company's cash flow, and any founder conversation about runway.

    From Shoe Dog · Phil Knight

  • FrameworkGrowth and business modelsBook

    Network effects start in one small market, never across the whole one

    Judge a network by whether its first small market is dense and self-sustaining, not by the size of the market it aims at.

    Early-stage diligence, growth strategy questions, and any marketplace that reports total users rather than density.

    From The Cold Start Problem · Andrew Chen

  • Company insightFounders and companiesLetter located

    Refuse quarterly guidance, keep control, and tell investors they are betting on the team

    A founder-controlled company should say what control is for and what investors give up; the 2004 letter is the template for saying it plainly.

    IPO process questions, governance debates about dual-class shares, and any founder letter that cites this one.

    From Google's 2004 IPO founders' letter, "An Owner's Manual" · Larry Page and Sergey Brin

  • Post-mortemFraud and forensicsBook

    Secrecy presented as protecting the technology is the warning sign

    Protecting a secret and refusing to demonstrate a result are different things; a company that cannot tell them apart may have no result.

    Technology diligence, and any situation where access to evidence is being refused on grounds of confidentiality.

    From Bad Blood · John Carreyrou

  • ObservationLeadershipLetter

    The world pulls every company towards typical, and staying distinctive has a price

    Being distinctive is not a state but a cost paid continuously; stop paying it and the drift to typical begins.

    Questions about culture, moats that depend on behaviour rather than assets, and personal career choices.

    From Amazon's 2020 letter to shareowners, Jeff Bezos's last as chief executive · Jeff Bezos