The deal tape
A precedent transactions set answers one question: what did somebody actually pay for a company like this one. Every row here is a US public target that filed a merger proxy or a going-private statement since 2020, with the offer per share, the premium to the unaffected price and the enterprise value multiples read from the filing itself rather than bought from a feed. Choose a sector, an industry code and a size band, and the quartiles above the list are the answer for that cut.
What it is not. Private-company deals, non-US targets and any transaction where no proxy was required leave nothing to read, so none of them are here. Neither are minority stakes or asset sales. Where a cross-check failed, the row still appears and says why, and it is held out of every median and quartile so one bad reading cannot move a number you would quote.
142 deals in this cut, 75 of them safe to take a multiple from and 140 safe to take a premium from. Enterprise value is stated where a balance sheet and a share count could be read at the period end before announcement.
What this cut was bought at
Each measure counts the readings that survive its own cross-checks. Fewer than 4 is a coincidence, not a market.
| Measure | Deals | 25th | Median | 75th |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 37 | 7.1x | 13.1x | 18.3x |
| EV / LTM revenue | 68 | 0.7x | 1.2x | 3.5x |
| Premium to unaffected price | 61 | 17% | 33% | 50% |
| Premium to 30-day VWAP | 14 | 27% | 51% | 63% |
Read the EBITDA multiple against the revenue multiple before you use either. Where they disagree sharply the target was priced on growth rather than earnings, and the EBITDA line is the one that will not survive a second question.
| Target | Acquirer | Industry | EV | EV / EBITDA | EV / revenue | Premium | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Txnm Energy Inc 2020-10-20 · Public merger · $50.30 a share | NM Green Holdings Strategic | Utilities | $7.3bn | 11.4x | 5.0x | 10% 3% to VWAP | DEFM14A All cash |
Front Yard Residential Corp 2020-10-19 · Public merger · $16.25 a share | Not named in the filing Unclassified | Real Estate | $870m | n.a. | 4.0x | 63% | DEFM14A All cash |
Watford Holdings Ltd. 2020-10-09 · Take-private · $35.00 a share Board book on file → | Arch Capital Group LTD. Financial sponsor | Financials | $501m | n.a. | 0.8x | 49% | SC 13E3 All cash |
Acorn International, Inc. 2020-10-08 · Take-private · $1.05 a share Board book on file → | Bireme LTD Strategic | Consumer & Retail | $41m | 7.1x | 1.1x | 44% | SC 13E3 All cash |
Eidos Therapeutics, Inc. 2020-10-05 · Public merger · $73.26 a share Held out of the multiples: consideration includes stock: the cash figure is not the price; EV / LTM revenue 26951.0x above 60x | BridgeBio Pharma, Inc. Strategic | Healthcare | $2.7bn | n.a. | 26951.0x | 41% | DEFM14A Includes stock |
BridgeBio Pharma, Inc. 2020-10-05 · Public merger · $73.26 a share Held out of the multiples: consideration includes stock: the cash figure is not the price; EV / LTM revenue 381.1x above 60x | Eidos Therapeutics, Inc. Strategic | Healthcare | $8.3bn | n.a. | 381.1x | 41% | DEFM14A Includes stock |
American Renal Associates Holdings, Inc. 2020-10-01 · Public merger · $11.50 a share | IRC Superman Midco, LLC, LLC Unclassified | Healthcare | $842m | n.a. | 1.0x | 66% | DEFM14A All cash |
Medical Information Technology, Inc. 2020-10-01 (filed) · Take-private · $45.00 a share Held out of the multiples: equity value 1,674 vs fee-table value 75 | Not named in the filing Unclassified | Technology | $1.6bn | 16.0x | 3.2x | n.a. | SC 13E3 All cash |
Gridsum Holding Inc. 2020-09-30 · Take-private · $2.00 a share Held out of the premiums: premium of 217%: distressed or misread Board book on file → | Fairy Spirit LTD Strategic | Technology | $13m | n.a. | 0.3x | 217% | SC 13E3 All cash |
Newater Technology, Inc. 2020-09-29 · Take-private · $3.65 a share Board book on file → | Crouching Tiger Holding LTD Strategic | Utilities | $43m | 5.8x | 1.1x | 72% 64% to VWAP | SC 13E3 All cash |
Sogou Inc. 2020-09-29 · Take-private · $9.00 a share Board book on file → | Sohu.com (Search) LTD Strategic | Technology | $2.4bn | 18.3x | 2.0x | 56% 83% to VWAP | SC 13E3 All cash |
Sina Corp 2020-09-28 · Take-private · $43.30 a share Held out of the multiples: EV / LTM EBITDA 0.6x outside 1x to 75x Board book on file → | New Wave Holdings LTD Strategic | Technology | $234m | 0.6x | 0.1x | 18% | SC 13E3 All cash |
Wpx Energy, Inc. 2020-09-26 · Public merger · $4.56 a share Held out of the multiples: consideration includes stock: the cash figure is not the price | Devon Energy Corporation Strategic | Energy | $5.8bn | 14.8x | 2.2x | 3% | DEFM14A Includes stock |
Mobileiron, Inc. 2020-09-26 · Public merger · $7.05 a share | Ivanti, Inc. Strategic | Technology | $736m | n.a. | 3.4x | 42% | DEFM14A All cash |
Standard AVB Financial Corp. 2020-09-24 · Public merger · $33.00 a share | Dollar Mutual Bancorp Strategic | Financials | $79m | n.a. | n.a. | n.a. | DEFM14A All cash |
Torotel Inc 2020-09-17 · Public merger · $6.17 a share Held out of the premiums: premium of 300%: distressed or misread | TT Group Industries, Inc. Strategic | Technology | $39m | 29.8x | 1.5x | 300% | DEFM14A All cash |
Virtusa Corp 2020-09-09 · Public merger · $51.35 a share | Austin HoldCo Inc. Unclassified | Technology | $1.7bn | 15.9x | 1.3x | 27% | DEFM14A All cash |
Resource Apartment REIT III, Inc. 2020-09-08 · Public merger · $10.00 a share Held out of the multiples: consideration includes stock: the cash figure is not the price | Not named in the filing Unclassified | Real Estate | $224m | 35.6x | 11.1x | n.a. | DEFM14A Includes stock |
Resource Real Estate Opportunity REIT, Inc. 2020-09-08 · Public merger · $10.00 a share Held out of the multiples: consideration includes stock: the cash figure is not the price | RRE Opportunity OP II, LP Strategic | Real Estate | $1.4bn | 26.9x | 10.8x | n.a. | DEFM14A Includes stock |
Fuling Global Inc. 2020-09-01 · Take-private · $2.35 a share | Celestial Sun Holdings LTD Strategic | Materials | $56m | 2.7x | 0.4x | 15% | SC 13E3 All cash |
Cole Credit Property Trust V, Inc. 2020-08-30 · Public merger · $18.00 a share Held out of the multiples: consideration includes stock: the cash figure is not the price | Ccit II Strategic | Real Estate | $655m | 18.6x | 12.1x | n.a. | DEFM14A Includes stock |
Akcea Therapeutics, Inc. 2020-08-30 · Take-private · $18.15 a share Board book on file → | Ionis Pharmaceuticals Inc Strategic | Healthcare | $1.5bn | n.a. | 4.3x | 42% 55% to VWAP | SC 13E3 All cash |
Bmc Stock Holdings, Inc. 2020-08-26 · Public merger · $26.50 a share Held out of the multiples: consideration includes stock: the cash figure is not the price | Builders FirstSource Strategic | Consumer & Retail | $1.9bn | 7.5x | 0.5x | 14% | DEFM14A Includes stock |
Hudson Ltd. 2020-08-18 · Take-private · $7.70 a share Held out of the multiples: no balance sheet at announcement: EV = equity value Board book on file → | Dufry AG Strategic | Consumer & Retail | $711m | n.a. | n.a. | 50% | SC 13E3 All cash |
Yintech Investment Holdings Ltd 2020-08-17 · Take-private · $0.36 a share Board book on file → | Areo Holdings LTD Strategic | Financials | $207m | n.a. | 1.0x | 38% | SC 13E3 All cash |
How to use a set like this
Cut to the narrowest set that still holds eight or ten deals, then quote the range rather than the median. An interviewer who asks where software takes out will accept a spread and press on a single number, because the single number implies a precision the set does not have. Say which deals sit at each end and why: the top of a range is usually a contested auction or a strategic buyer with synergies, the bottom a controlling holder buying in the minority.
Premiums move with the reference price, not only with the deal. A bidder quotes the period that flatters the offer, so read the premium to the unaffected close beside the premium to the thirty-day average and notice when they diverge.
What each column means
- Enterprise value.
- Offer per share times shares outstanding, plus net debt at the last balance sheet before the merger agreement. It is blank where either piece was missing, and those rows are in the “not computed” band rather than in a size they never earned.
- Premium.
- The offer against the unaffected price, which is the last close before the deal became known. Where the filing states a premium to the thirty-day volume-weighted average, that is shown next to it.
- Deal type.
- A take-private is bought by an affiliate, which is what triggers the Schedule 13E-3 and the fuller disclosure that comes with it. A public merger is an arm’s-length buyer, disclosed through the merger proxy.
- In doubt.
- A cross-check the reading could not satisfy: an equity value far from the fee-table figure, a multiple outside any sane band, or consideration that is partly stock so the per-share cash figure is not the price. The row stays visible, and it is set aside only for the measures the doubt reaches. A cash-and-stock deal cannot price a multiple and still states a premium the filing itself computed, so it counts in one and not the other.
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