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The deal tape

A precedent transactions set answers one question: what did somebody actually pay for a company like this one. Every row here is a US public target that filed a merger proxy or a going-private statement since 2020, with the offer per share, the premium to the unaffected price and the enterprise value multiples read from the filing itself rather than bought from a feed. Choose a sector, an industry code and a size band, and the quartiles above the list are the answer for that cut.

What it is not. Private-company deals, non-US targets and any transaction where no proxy was required leave nothing to read, so none of them are here. Neither are minority stakes or asset sales. Where a cross-check failed, the row still appears and says why, and it is held out of every median and quartile so one bad reading cannot move a number you would quote.

What this cut was bought at

Each measure counts the readings that survive its own cross-checks. Fewer than 4 is a coincidence, not a market.

MeasureDeals25thMedian75th
EV / LTM EBITDA136.1x18.1x25.5x
EV / LTM revenue200.3x0.9x3.0x
Premium to unaffected price159%19%29%
Premium to 30-day VWAP424%35%47%

Read the EBITDA multiple against the revenue multiple before you use either. Where they disagree sharply the target was priced on growth rather than earnings, and the EBITDA line is the one that will not survive a second question.

Deals by year of announcement
034672009: 2 deals, 0 clean on every measure200922010: 67 deals, 10 clean on every measure2010672011: 57 deals, 22 clean on every measure2011572012: 37 deals, 24 clean on every measure2012372013: 54 deals, 44 clean on every measure2013542014: 32 deals, 26 clean on every measure2014322015: 35 deals, 27 clean on every measure2015352016: 48 deals, 39 clean on every measure2016482017: 26 deals, 19 clean on every measure2017262018: 32 deals, 20 clean on every measure2018322019: 24 deals, 18 clean on every measure2019242020: 41 deals, 29 clean on every measure2020412021: 22 deals, 14 clean on every measure2021222022: 34 deals, 21 clean on every measure2022342023: 35 deals, 24 clean on every measure2023352024: 49 deals, 27 clean on every measure2024492025: 27 deals, 14 clean on every measure2025272026: 17 deals, 13 clean on every measure202617
Clean on every measure In doubt on one measure or both
Median EV / LTM EBITDA by sector
Technology: 21.3x median across 5 dealsTechnology21.3xn=5
Deals by sector
Technology: 12 dealsTechnology12Consumer & Retail: 6 dealsConsumer & Retail6Business Services: 3 dealsBusiness Services3Financials: 3 dealsFinancials3Healthcare: 3 dealsHealthcare3Media & Telecom: 3 dealsMedia & Telecom3Other: 2 dealsOther2Energy: 1 dealsEnergy1Materials: 1 dealsMaterials1Real Estate: 1 dealsReal Estate1
Deals by buyer type
Financial sponsor: 1 dealsFinancial sponsor1Strategic: 9 dealsStrategic9Management / founder: 0 dealsManagement / founder0Controlling holder: 0 dealsControlling holder0Acquisition vehicle: 0 dealsAcquisition vehicle0Unclassified: 25 dealsUnclassified25
Deals by enterprise value
Under $250m: 18 dealsUnder $250m18$250m to $1bn: 9 deals$250m to $1bn9$1bn to $5bn: 5 deals$1bn to $5bn5$5bn to $20bn: 0 deals$5bn to $20bn0Over $20bn: 1 dealsOver $20bn1Not computed: 2 dealsNot computed2
Deals by industry code
Business Services & Software: 8 dealsBusiness Services & Sof…8Electronics & Electrical Equipment: 7 dealsElectronics & Electrica…7Building Construction: 2 dealsBuilding Construction2Communications: 2 dealsCommunications2Insurance Carriers: 2 dealsInsurance Carriers2Educational Services: 2 dealsEducational Services2Apparel & Other Textile Products: 1 dealsApparel & Other Textile…1Paper & Allied Products: 1 dealsPaper & Allied Products1Chemicals, Pharmaceuticals & Allied Products: 1 dealsChemicals, Pharmaceutic…1Petroleum Refining: 1 dealsPetroleum Refining1
TargetAcquirerIndustryEVEV / EBITDAEV / revenuePremiumFiling
iDreamSky Technology Ltd
2015-12-31 · Take-private · $3.50 a share
Not named in the filing
Unclassified
Technology$543m25.5x2.1x
n.a.
SC 13E3
All cash
Global-Tech Advanced Innovations Inc.
2015-12-23 (filed) · Take-private · $8.85 a share
Held out of the premiums: premium of 195%: distressed or misread
Timely Star Limited
Strategic
Technology$12mn.a.0.2x
195%
SC 13E3
All cash
Mecox Lane Ltd
2015-12-22 · Take-private · $0.11 a share
Not named in the filing
Unclassified
Consumer & Retail$33m3.9xn.a.
18%
SC 13E3
All cash
Northern Tier Energy LP
2015-12-21 · Take-private · $15.00 a share
Held out of the multiples: consideration includes stock: the cash figure is not the price
Nti GP
Strategic
Energy$1.6bn3.7x0.4x
9%
SC 13E3
Includes stock
Qihoo 360 Technology Co Ltd
2015-12-18 · Take-private · $51.33 a share
Held out of the multiples: EV / LTM EBITDA -4.3x outside 1x to 75x
Not named in the filing
Unclassified
Technology-$1.5bn-4.3x-1.1x
17%
SC 13E3
All cash
Dynacq Healthcare Inc
2015-12-18 (filed) · Take-private · $0.10 a share
Not named in the filing
Unclassified
Healthcare-$13mn.a.n.a.
n.a.
SC 13E3
All cash
Bona Film Group Ltd
2015-12-15 · Take-private · $27.40 a share
Not named in the filing
Unclassified
Media & Telecom$763m37.0x3.0x
n.a.
20% to VWAP
SC 13E3
All cash
Taomee Holdings Ltd
2015-12-11 · Take-private · $0.19 a share
Held out of the multiples: consideration includes stock: the cash figure is not the price; EV / LTM EBITDA 98.8x outside 1x to 75x
Not named in the filing
Unclassified
Business Services$40m98.8x0.9x
26%
SC 13E3
Includes stock
Country Style Cooking Restaurant Chain Co., Ltd.
2015-12-09 · Take-private · $1.31 a share
Not named in the filing
Unclassified
Consumer & Retail$49m3.0x0.2x
19%
SC 13E3
All cash
Homeinns Hotel Group
2015-12-06 · Take-private · $17.90 a share
Not named in the filing
Unclassified
Consumer & Retail$1.6bnn.a.1.5x
n.a.
SC 13E3
All cash
RealD Inc.
2015-11-08 · Take-private · $11.00 a share
ReadD Inc.
Strategic
Technology$486m21.3x3.2x
4%
SC 13E3
All cash
Youku Tudou Inc.
2015-11-06 · Take-private · $27.60 a share
Ali YK Investment Holding Limited
Financial sponsor
Technology$96bnn.a.n.a.
n.a.
SC 13E3
All cash
Mindray Medical International LTD
2015-11-04 · Take-private · $0.05 a share
Held out of the multiples: EV / LTM EBITDA -4.8x outside 1x to 75x
Not named in the filing
Unclassified
Healthcare-$1.1bn-4.8x-0.8x
n.a.
SC 13E3
All cash
CTC Media, Inc.
2015-10-22 (filed) · Take-private · $2.19 a share
Not named in the filing
Unclassified
Media & Telecom$241m4.6x0.6x
2%
SC 13E3
All cash
Hubbell Inc
2015-10-21 (filed) · Take-private · $28.00 a share
Not named in the filing
Unclassified
Technologyn.a.n.a.n.a.
n.a.
SC 13E3
All cash
Jagged Peak, Inc.
2015-10-09 · Take-private · $1.08 a share
SP Jagged Peak LLC
Strategic
Technology$22m6.1x0.3x
32%
SC 13E3
All cash
China Housing & Land Development, Inc.
2015-10-05 (filed) · Take-private · $3.00 a share
Not named in the filing
Unclassified
Other$5mn.a.0.0x
n.a.
54% to VWAP
SC 13E3
All cash
Yueda Digital Holding
2015-09-29 · Take-private · $3.00 a share
AirMedia Holdings Ltd.
Strategic
Financials$278mn.a.3.7x
71%
SC 13E3
All cash
Vimicro International CORP
2015-09-15 · Take-private · $3.38 a share
Not named in the filing
Unclassified
Technology$323m51.2x3.2x
10%
SC 13E3
All cash
WuXi PharmaTech (Cayman) Inc.
2015-08-14 · Take-private · $5.75 a share
Not named in the filing
Unclassified
Healthcare$2.8bn18.8xn.a.
n.a.
SC 13E3
All cash
Kansas City Life Insurance Co
2015-08-04 (filed) · Take-private · $52.50 a share
Held out of the multiples: no balance sheet at announcement: EV = equity value
Not named in the filing
Unclassified
Financials$558mn.a.1.2x
n.a.
SC 13E3
All cash
Xueda Education Group
2015-07-26 · Take-private · $2.75 a share
Not named in the filing
Unclassified
Consumer & Retail$134m70.7x0.4x
n.a.
SC 13E3
All cash
Books A Million Inc
2015-07-13 · Take-private · $3.25 a share
Terrence C. Anderson
Strategic
Consumer & Retail$88mn.a.0.2x
n.a.
SC 13E3
All cash
China Shengda Packaging Group Inc.
2015-06-10 (filed) · Take-private · $7.25 a share
Not named in the filing
Unclassified
Materials$278mn.a.1.8x
47%
SC 13E3
All cash
Sungy Mobile Ltd
2015-06-08 · Take-private · $0.82 a share
Not named in the filing
Unclassified
Technology-$28mn.a.-0.5x
9%
SC 13E3
All cash

How to use a set like this

Cut to the narrowest set that still holds eight or ten deals, then quote the range rather than the median. An interviewer who asks where software takes out will accept a spread and press on a single number, because the single number implies a precision the set does not have. Say which deals sit at each end and why: the top of a range is usually a contested auction or a strategic buyer with synergies, the bottom a controlling holder buying in the minority.

Premiums move with the reference price, not only with the deal. A bidder quotes the period that flatters the offer, so read the premium to the unaffected close beside the premium to the thirty-day average and notice when they diverge.

What each column means

Enterprise value.
Offer per share times shares outstanding, plus net debt at the last balance sheet before the merger agreement. It is blank where either piece was missing, and those rows are in the “not computed” band rather than in a size they never earned.
Premium.
The offer against the unaffected price, which is the last close before the deal became known. Where the filing states a premium to the thirty-day volume-weighted average, that is shown next to it.
Deal type.
A take-private is bought by an affiliate, which is what triggers the Schedule 13E-3 and the fuller disclosure that comes with it. A public merger is an arm’s-length buyer, disclosed through the merger proxy.
In doubt.
A cross-check the reading could not satisfy: an equity value far from the fee-table figure, a multiple outside any sane band, or consideration that is partly stock so the per-share cash figure is not the price. The row stays visible, and it is set aside only for the measures the doubt reaches. A cash-and-stock deal cannot price a multiple and still states a premium the filing itself computed, so it counts in one and not the other.

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