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The deal tape

A precedent transactions set answers one question: what did somebody actually pay for a company like this one. Every row here is a US public target that filed a merger proxy or a going-private statement since 2020, with the offer per share, the premium to the unaffected price and the enterprise value multiples read from the filing itself rather than bought from a feed. Choose a sector, an industry code and a size band, and the quartiles above the list are the answer for that cut.

What it is not. Private-company deals, non-US targets and any transaction where no proxy was required leave nothing to read, so none of them are here. Neither are minority stakes or asset sales. Where a cross-check failed, the row still appears and says why, and it is held out of every median and quartile so one bad reading cannot move a number you would quote.

What this cut was bought at

Each measure counts the readings that survive its own cross-checks. Fewer than 4 is a coincidence, not a market.

MeasureDeals25thMedian75th
EV / LTM EBITDA6611.2x16.0x22.5x
EV / LTM revenue790.8x1.8x3.2x
Premium to unaffected price5215%24%37%
Premium to 30-day VWAP819%30%44%

Read the EBITDA multiple against the revenue multiple before you use either. Where they disagree sharply the target was priced on growth rather than earnings, and the EBITDA line is the one that will not survive a second question.

Deals by year of announcement
0901792009: 11 deals, 2 clean on every measure2009112010: 179 deals, 40 clean on every measure20101792011: 164 deals, 92 clean on every measure20111642012: 133 deals, 117 clean on every measure20121332013: 155 deals, 136 clean on every measure20131552014: 98 deals, 85 clean on every measure2014982015: 121 deals, 108 clean on every measure20151212016: 156 deals, 142 clean on every measure20161562017: 120 deals, 109 clean on every measure20171202018: 127 deals, 113 clean on every measure20181272019: 115 deals, 108 clean on every measure20191152020: 87 deals, 73 clean on every measure2020872021: 119 deals, 99 clean on every measure20211192022: 112 deals, 98 clean on every measure20221122023: 108 deals, 86 clean on every measure20231082024: 133 deals, 109 clean on every measure20241332025: 121 deals, 98 clean on every measure20251212026: 62 deals, 52 clean on every measure202662
Clean on every measure In doubt on one measure or both
Median EV / LTM EBITDA by sector
Healthcare: 21.6x median across 9 dealsHealthcare21.6xn=9Media & Telecom: 21.4x median across 4 dealsMedia & Telecom21.4xn=4Real Estate: 18.6x median across 6 dealsReal Estate18.6xn=6Technology: 16.0x median across 20 dealsTechnology16.0xn=20Industrials: 13.2x median across 7 dealsIndustrials13.2xn=7Consumer & Retail: 7.2x median across 9 dealsConsumer & Retail7.2xn=9
Deals by sector
Technology: 32 dealsTechnology32Consumer & Retail: 15 dealsConsumer & Retail15Financials: 14 dealsFinancials14Healthcare: 14 dealsHealthcare14Industrials: 10 dealsIndustrials10Real Estate: 9 dealsReal Estate9Media & Telecom: 7 dealsMedia & Telecom7Business Services: 6 dealsBusiness Services6Energy: 4 dealsEnergy4Materials: 4 dealsMaterials4Utilities: 4 dealsUtilities4Other: 2 dealsOther2
Deals by buyer type
Financial sponsor: 5 dealsFinancial sponsor5Strategic: 61 dealsStrategic61Management / founder: 0 dealsManagement / founder0Controlling holder: 0 dealsControlling holder0Acquisition vehicle: 0 dealsAcquisition vehicle0Unclassified: 55 dealsUnclassified55
Deals by enterprise value
Under $250m: 39 dealsUnder $250m39$250m to $1bn: 26 deals$250m to $1bn26$1bn to $5bn: 30 deals$1bn to $5bn30$5bn to $20bn: 18 deals$5bn to $20bn18Over $20bn: 6 dealsOver $20bn6Not computed: 2 dealsNot computed2
Deals by industry code
Business Services & Software: 20 dealsBusiness Services & Sof…20Electronics & Electrical Equipment: 17 dealsElectronics & Electrica…17Chemicals, Pharmaceuticals & Allied Products: 10 dealsChemicals, Pharmaceutic…10Insurance Carriers: 7 dealsInsurance Carriers7Holding & Other Investment Offices: 7 dealsHolding & Other Investm…7Communications: 6 dealsCommunications6Miscellaneous Retail: 5 dealsMiscellaneous Retail5Oil & Gas Extraction: 4 dealsOil & Gas Extraction4Electric, Gas & Sanitary Services: 4 dealsElectric, Gas & Sanitar…4Depository Institutions: 4 dealsDepository Institutions4
TargetAcquirerIndustryEVEV / EBITDAEV / revenuePremiumFiling
iDreamSky Technology Ltd
2015-12-31 · Take-private · $3.50 a share
Not named in the filing
Unclassified
Technology$543m25.5x2.1x
n.a.
SC 13E3
All cash
Brushy Resources, Inc.
2015-12-29 · Public merger · $2.00 a share
Lilis Energy, Inc.
Strategic
Energy$36mn.a.n.a.
n.a.
DEFM14A
All cash
Global-Tech Advanced Innovations Inc.
2015-12-23 (filed) · Take-private · $8.85 a share
Held out of the premiums: premium of 195%: distressed or misread
Timely Star Limited
Strategic
Technology$12mn.a.0.2x
195%
SC 13E3
All cash
Mecox Lane Ltd
2015-12-22 · Take-private · $0.11 a share
Not named in the filing
Unclassified
Consumer & Retail$33m3.9xn.a.
18%
SC 13E3
All cash
Qihoo 360 Technology Co Ltd
2015-12-18 · Take-private · $51.33 a share
Held out of the multiples: EV / LTM EBITDA -4.3x outside 1x to 75x
Not named in the filing
Unclassified
Technology-$1.5bn-4.3x-1.1x
17%
SC 13E3
All cash
Dynacq Healthcare Inc
2015-12-18 (filed) · Take-private · $0.10 a share
Not named in the filing
Unclassified
Healthcare-$13mn.a.n.a.
n.a.
SC 13E3
All cash
Bona Film Group Ltd
2015-12-15 · Take-private · $27.40 a share
Not named in the filing
Unclassified
Media & Telecom$763m37.0x3.0x
n.a.
20% to VWAP
SC 13E3
All cash
IRC Retail Centers Inc
2015-12-14 · Public merger · $10.60 a share
Inland Real Estate Corporation
Strategic
Real Estate$1.9bn18.4xn.a.
7%
DEFM14A
All cash
Blount International Inc
2015-12-09 · Public merger · $10.00 a share
Not named in the filing
Unclassified
Industrials$850m42.5x1.0x
86%
DEFM14A
All cash
Country Style Cooking Restaurant Chain Co., Ltd.
2015-12-09 · Take-private · $1.31 a share
Not named in the filing
Unclassified
Consumer & Retail$49m3.0x0.2x
19%
SC 13E3
All cash
Homeinns Hotel Group
2015-12-06 · Take-private · $17.90 a share
Not named in the filing
Unclassified
Consumer & Retail$1.6bnn.a.1.5x
n.a.
SC 13E3
All cash
Keurig Green Mountain, Inc.
2015-12-06 · Public merger · $92.00 a share
Acorn Holdings B.V.
Strategic
Consumer & Retail$14bn13.6x3.1x
78%
DEFM14A
All cash
UTi WORLDWIDE INC
2015-12-04 (filed) · Public merger · $7.10 a share
Not named in the filing
Unclassified
Industrials$537mn.a.n.a.
50%
34% to VWAP
DEFM14A
All cash
American Residential Properties, Inc.
2015-12-03 · Public merger · $8.10 a share
American Homes 4 Rent, L.P.
Strategic
Real Estate$1.0bnn.a.n.a.
n.a.
DEFM14A
All cash
Mattson Technology Inc
2015-12-01 · Public merger · $3.80 a share
Not named in the filing
Unclassified
Industrials$249m12.9x1.3x
23%
DEFM14A
All cash
Liberator Medical Holdings, Inc.
2015-11-19 · Public merger · $3.35 a share
C. R.
Strategic
Consumer & Retail$170m7.2x2.1x
n.a.
DEFM14A
All cash
Airgas Inc
2015-11-17 · Public merger · $143.00 a share
L’Air Liquide, S.A.
Strategic
Industrials$12bn13.2x2.3x
n.a.
DEFM14A
All cash
Fidelity & Guaranty Life
2015-11-08 · Public merger · $26.80 a share
Anbang Insurance Group Co., Ltd.
Strategic
Financials$1.4bnn.a.1.4x
n.a.
DEFM14C
All cash
RealD Inc.
2015-11-08 · Take-private · $11.00 a share
ReadD Inc.
Strategic
Technology$486m21.3x3.2x
4%
SC 13E3
All cash
RealD Inc.
2015-11-08 · Public merger · $11.00 a share
Rhombus Cinema Holdings, LLC
Strategic
Technology$486m21.3x3.2x
4%
DEFM14A
All cash
Youku Tudou Inc.
2015-11-06 · Take-private · $27.60 a share
Ali YK Investment Holding Limited
Financial sponsor
Technology$96bnn.a.n.a.
n.a.
SC 13E3
All cash
Mindray Medical International LTD
2015-11-04 · Take-private · $0.05 a share
Held out of the multiples: EV / LTM EBITDA -4.8x outside 1x to 75x
Not named in the filing
Unclassified
Healthcare-$1.1bn-4.8x-0.8x
n.a.
SC 13E3
All cash
Dyax Corp
2015-11-02 · Public merger · $4.00 a share
Shire Pharmaceuticals International
Strategic
Business Services$280mn.a.2.9x
35%
DEFM14A
All cash
Hutchinson Technology Inc
2015-11-01 · Public merger · $3.62 a share
Headway Technologies, Inc.
Strategic
Technology$206m14.1x0.8x
n.a.
DEFM14A
All cash
Medassets Inc
2015-11-01 · Public merger · $31.35 a share
Magnitude Holdings
Strategic
Technology$2.6bn32.4xn.a.
4%
45% to VWAP
DEFM14A
All cash

How to use a set like this

Cut to the narrowest set that still holds eight or ten deals, then quote the range rather than the median. An interviewer who asks where software takes out will accept a spread and press on a single number, because the single number implies a precision the set does not have. Say which deals sit at each end and why: the top of a range is usually a contested auction or a strategic buyer with synergies, the bottom a controlling holder buying in the minority.

Premiums move with the reference price, not only with the deal. A bidder quotes the period that flatters the offer, so read the premium to the unaffected close beside the premium to the thirty-day average and notice when they diverge.

What each column means

Enterprise value.
Offer per share times shares outstanding, plus net debt at the last balance sheet before the merger agreement. It is blank where either piece was missing, and those rows are in the “not computed” band rather than in a size they never earned.
Premium.
The offer against the unaffected price, which is the last close before the deal became known. Where the filing states a premium to the thirty-day volume-weighted average, that is shown next to it.
Deal type.
A take-private is bought by an affiliate, which is what triggers the Schedule 13E-3 and the fuller disclosure that comes with it. A public merger is an arm’s-length buyer, disclosed through the merger proxy.
In doubt.
A cross-check the reading could not satisfy: an equity value far from the fee-table figure, a multiple outside any sane band, or consideration that is partly stock so the per-share cash figure is not the price. The row stays visible, and it is set aside only for the measures the doubt reaches. A cash-and-stock deal cannot price a multiple and still states a premium the filing itself computed, so it counts in one and not the other.

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