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The deal tape

A precedent transactions set answers one question: what did somebody actually pay for a company like this one. Every row here is a US public target that filed a merger proxy or a going-private statement since 2020, with the offer per share, the premium to the unaffected price and the enterprise value multiples read from the filing itself rather than bought from a feed. Choose a sector, an industry code and a size band, and the quartiles above the list are the answer for that cut.

What it is not. Private-company deals, non-US targets and any transaction where no proxy was required leave nothing to read, so none of them are here. Neither are minority stakes or asset sales. Where a cross-check failed, the row still appears and says why, and it is held out of every median and quartile so one bad reading cannot move a number you would quote.

What this cut was bought at

Each measure counts the readings that survive its own cross-checks. Fewer than 4 is a coincidence, not a market.

MeasureDeals25thMedian75th
EV / LTM EBITDA559.4x13.2x16.6x
EV / LTM revenue640.8x1.9x4.5x
Premium to unaffected price4717%28%49%
Premium to 30-day VWAP521%22%28%

Read the EBITDA multiple against the revenue multiple before you use either. Where they disagree sharply the target was priced on growth rather than earnings, and the EBITDA line is the one that will not survive a second question.

Deals by year of announcement
0611212009: 9 deals, 2 clean on every measure200992010: 121 deals, 30 clean on every measure20101212011: 107 deals, 70 clean on every measure20111072012: 100 deals, 93 clean on every measure20121002013: 104 deals, 92 clean on every measure20131042014: 68 deals, 59 clean on every measure2014682015: 88 deals, 81 clean on every measure2015882016: 111 deals, 103 clean on every measure20161112017: 98 deals, 90 clean on every measure2017982018: 101 deals, 93 clean on every measure20181012019: 95 deals, 90 clean on every measure2019952020: 46 deals, 44 clean on every measure2020462021: 97 deals, 85 clean on every measure2021972022: 81 deals, 77 clean on every measure2022812023: 77 deals, 62 clean on every measure2023772024: 92 deals, 82 clean on every measure2024922025: 97 deals, 84 clean on every measure2025972026: 48 deals, 41 clean on every measure202648
Clean on every measure In doubt on one measure or both
Median EV / LTM EBITDA by sector
Real Estate: 16.8x median across 5 dealsReal Estate16.8xn=5Technology: 13.6x median across 13 dealsTechnology13.6xn=13Industrials: 12.9x median across 7 dealsIndustrials12.9xn=7Consumer & Retail: 9.4x median across 13 dealsConsumer & Retail9.4xn=13
Deals by sector
Technology: 18 dealsTechnology18Consumer & Retail: 16 dealsConsumer & Retail16Industrials: 15 dealsIndustrials15Financials: 10 dealsFinancials10Healthcare: 10 dealsHealthcare10Real Estate: 8 dealsReal Estate8Business Services: 7 dealsBusiness Services7Energy: 7 dealsEnergy7Media & Telecom: 3 dealsMedia & Telecom3Other: 3 dealsOther3Utilities: 3 dealsUtilities3Materials: 1 dealsMaterials1
Deals by buyer type
Financial sponsor: 1 dealsFinancial sponsor1Strategic: 59 dealsStrategic59Management / founder: 0 dealsManagement / founder0Controlling holder: 0 dealsControlling holder0Acquisition vehicle: 0 dealsAcquisition vehicle0Unclassified: 41 dealsUnclassified41
Deals by enterprise value
Under $250m: 32 dealsUnder $250m32$250m to $1bn: 16 deals$250m to $1bn16$1bn to $5bn: 36 deals$1bn to $5bn36$5bn to $20bn: 15 deals$5bn to $20bn15Over $20bn: 2 dealsOver $20bn2Not computed: 0 dealsNot computed0
Deals by industry code
Business Services & Software: 18 dealsBusiness Services & Sof…18Holding & Other Investment Offices: 7 dealsHolding & Other Investm…7Electronics & Electrical Equipment: 6 dealsElectronics & Electrica…6Instruments, Medical Devices & Optical Goods: 6 dealsInstruments, Medical De…6Chemicals, Pharmaceuticals & Allied Products: 5 dealsChemicals, Pharmaceutic…5Industrial Machinery & Computers: 5 dealsIndustrial Machinery & …5Eating & Drinking Places: 5 dealsEating & Drinking Places5Oil & Gas Extraction: 4 dealsOil & Gas Extraction4Electric, Gas & Sanitary Services: 3 dealsElectric, Gas & Sanitar…3Depository Institutions: 3 dealsDepository Institutions3
TargetAcquirerIndustryEVEV / EBITDAEV / revenuePremiumFiling
MINDBODY, Inc.
2018-12-23 · Public merger · $36.50 a share
Torreys Parent, LLC
Unclassified
Technology$1.3bnn.a.n.a.
n.a.
DEFM14A
All cash
Avenue Therapeutics, Inc.
2018-12-21 (filed) · Public merger · $13.92 a share
Held out of the premiums: premium of 235%: distressed or misread
Not named in the filing
Unclassified
Healthcare$144mn.a.n.a.
235%
DEFM14A
All cash
ARRIS International plc
2018-12-19 (filed) · Public merger · $31.75 a share
Not named in the filing
Unclassified
Technology$7.1bn38.2x1.1x
41%
DEFM14A
All cash
Civitas Solutions, Inc.
2018-12-18 · Public merger · $17.75 a share
Celtic Intermediate Corp.
Strategic
Healthcare$1.3bn8.9x0.8x
n.a.
28% to VWAP
DEFM14A
All cash
Ourpets Co
2018-12-18 · Public merger · $1.00 a share
Paws Merger Parent, LLC
Unclassified
Materials$19m9.6xn.a.
47%
DEFM14A
All cash
Sparton Corp
2018-12-11 · Public merger · $18.50 a share
Striker Parent 2018, LLC
Unclassified
Technology$254m9.2xn.a.
n.a.
DEFM14A
All cash
Travelport Worldwide LTD
2018-12-09 · Public merger · $15.75 a share
Toro Private Holdings III, Ltd.
Strategic
Industrials$4.1bn9.8x1.6x
n.a.
DEFM14A
All cash
Tribune Media Co
2018-11-30 · Public merger · $46.50 a share
Nexstar Media Group, Inc.
Strategic
Media & Telecom$6.8bn10.1x3.7x
16%
DEFM14A
All cash
Gaming Partners International CORP
2018-11-27 · Public merger · $13.75 a share
Angel Holdings Godo Kaisha
Strategic
Other$99m8.8x1.1x
79%
DEFM14A
All cash
TransMontaigne Partners LLC
2018-11-25 · Public merger · $41.00 a share
TransMontaigne GP L.L.C.
Strategic
Energy$663m5.6x3.1x
13%
DEFM14A
All cash
Athenahealth Inc
2018-11-11 · Public merger · $135.00 a share
Not named in the filing
Unclassified
Business Services$5.4bnn.a.n.a.
12%
DEFM14A
All cash
Apptio Inc
2018-11-09 · Public merger · $38.00 a share
Bellevue Parent, LLC
Unclassified
Technology$1.5bnn.a.n.a.
n.a.
DEFM14A
All cash
Virtu Itg Holdings LLC
2018-11-06 · Public merger · $30.30 a share
Virtu Financial, Inc.
Strategic
Financials$761mn.a.1.5x
39%
DEFM14A
All cash
Bojangles', Inc.
2018-11-05 · Public merger · $16.10 a share
Not named in the filing
Unclassified
Consumer & Retail$686m16.3xn.a.
n.a.
DEFM14A
All cash
Pacific Biosciences of California, Inc.
2018-11-01 · Public merger · $8.00 a share
Illumina, Inc.
Strategic
Industrials$1.1bnn.a.13.0x
n.a.
DEFM14A
All cash
Electro Scientific Industries Inc
2018-10-29 · Public merger · $30.00 a share
Not named in the filing
Unclassified
Technology$859m6.8xn.a.
n.a.
DEFM14A
All cash
Red Hat Inc
2018-10-28 · Public merger · $190.00 a share
International Business Machines Corporation
Strategic
Technology$32bn52.6x10.0x
n.a.
DEFM14A
All cash
American Railcar Industries, Inc.
2018-10-22 · Public merger · $70.00 a share
STL Parent Corp.
Unclassified
Industrials$1.8bn12.7x3.6x
51%
DEFM14C
All cash
InfraREIT, Inc.
2018-10-18 · Public merger · $21.00 a share
Oncor Electric Delivery Company LLC
Strategic
Real Estate$1.8bn14.7x13.1x
18%
DEFM14A
All cash
Valero Energy Partners LP
2018-10-18 · Public merger · $42.25 a share
Vlp Gp
Strategic
Energy$3.8bn9.8x35.1x
11%
12% to VWAP
DEFM14C
All cash
Endocyte Inc
2018-10-17 · Public merger · $24.00 a share
Novartis AG
Strategic
Healthcare$1.3bnn.a.n.a.
51%
DEFM14A
All cash
Cambium Learning Group, Inc.
2018-10-12 · Public merger · $14.50 a share
Campus Holding Corp.
Strategic
Media & Telecom$703m17.1xn.a.
n.a.
DEFM14C
All cash
Imperva Inc
2018-10-10 · Public merger · $55.75 a share
Imperial Purchaser, LLC
Unclassified
Technology$1.8bnn.a.n.a.
29%
22% to VWAP
DEFM14A
All cash
Esterline Technologies Corp
2018-10-09 · Public merger · $122.50 a share
Transdigm Group Incorporated
Strategic
Industrials$3.9bnn.a.1.9x
n.a.
DEFM14A
All cash
Birner Dental Management Services Inc
2018-10-03 · Public merger · $10.62 a share
Mid-Atlantic Dental Services Holdings, LLC
Strategic
Healthcare$26mn.a.n.a.
105%
DEFM14A
All cash

How to use a set like this

Cut to the narrowest set that still holds eight or ten deals, then quote the range rather than the median. An interviewer who asks where software takes out will accept a spread and press on a single number, because the single number implies a precision the set does not have. Say which deals sit at each end and why: the top of a range is usually a contested auction or a strategic buyer with synergies, the bottom a controlling holder buying in the minority.

Premiums move with the reference price, not only with the deal. A bidder quotes the period that flatters the offer, so read the premium to the unaffected close beside the premium to the thirty-day average and notice when they diverge.

What each column means

Enterprise value.
Offer per share times shares outstanding, plus net debt at the last balance sheet before the merger agreement. It is blank where either piece was missing, and those rows are in the “not computed” band rather than in a size they never earned.
Premium.
The offer against the unaffected price, which is the last close before the deal became known. Where the filing states a premium to the thirty-day volume-weighted average, that is shown next to it.
Deal type.
A take-private is bought by an affiliate, which is what triggers the Schedule 13E-3 and the fuller disclosure that comes with it. A public merger is an arm’s-length buyer, disclosed through the merger proxy.
In doubt.
A cross-check the reading could not satisfy: an equity value far from the fee-table figure, a multiple outside any sane band, or consideration that is partly stock so the per-share cash figure is not the price. The row stays visible, and it is set aside only for the measures the doubt reaches. A cash-and-stock deal cannot price a multiple and still states a premium the filing itself computed, so it counts in one and not the other.

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