The deal tape
A precedent transactions set answers one question: what did somebody actually pay for a company like this one. Every row here is a US public target that filed a merger proxy or a going-private statement since 2020, with the offer per share, the premium to the unaffected price and the enterprise value multiples read from the filing itself rather than bought from a feed. Choose a sector, an industry code and a size band, and the quartiles above the list are the answer for that cut.
What it is not. Private-company deals, non-US targets and any transaction where no proxy was required leave nothing to read, so none of them are here. Neither are minority stakes or asset sales. Where a cross-check failed, the row still appears and says why, and it is held out of every median and quartile so one bad reading cannot move a number you would quote.
206 deals in this cut, 28 of them safe to take a multiple from and 206 safe to take a premium from. Enterprise value is stated where a balance sheet and a share count could be read at the period end before announcement.
What this cut was bought at
Each measure counts the readings that survive its own cross-checks. Fewer than 4 is a coincidence, not a market.
| Measure | Deals | 25th | Median | 75th |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 0 | Too thin to quote. Widen the cut. | ||
| EV / LTM revenue | 0 | Too thin to quote. Widen the cut. | ||
| Premium to unaffected price | 46 | 14% | 22% | 37% |
| Premium to 30-day VWAP | 0 | Too thin to quote. Widen the cut. | ||
Read the EBITDA multiple against the revenue multiple before you use either. Where they disagree sharply the target was priced on growth rather than earnings, and the EBITDA line is the one that will not survive a second question.
No cut here holds enough clean readings to quote.
| Target | Acquirer | Industry | EV | EV / EBITDA | EV / revenue | Premium | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NSTS Bancorp, Inc. 2026-05-12 · Public merger · $14.28 a share Held out of the multiples: EV / LTM revenue 105.7x above 60x | Brookfield Bancshares, Inc. Strategic | Financials | $32m | n.a. | 105.7x | n.a. | DEFM14A All cash |
First Seacoast Bancorp, Inc. 2026-05-04 · Public merger · $17.25 a share Held out of the multiples: no balance sheet at announcement: EV = equity value | Cambridge Savings Bank Strategic | Financials | $81m | n.a. | n.a. | n.a. | DEFM14A All cash |
Affinity Bancshares, Inc. 2026-03-30 · Public merger · $23.00 a share | Affinity Bank Strategic | Financials | $86m | n.a. | n.a. | n.a. | DEFM14A All cash |
Northfield Bancorp, Inc. 2026-01-31 · Public merger · $14.25 a share Held out of the multiples: consideration includes stock: the cash figure is not the price; EV / LTM revenue 62.6x above 60x | Columbia Financial Strategic | Financials | $432m | n.a. | 62.6x | 17% | DEFM14A Includes stock |
Columbia Financial, Inc. 2026-01-31 · Public merger · $14.25 a share Held out of the multiples: consideration includes stock: the cash figure is not the price | Columbia Bank MHC Strategic | Financials | $2.3bn | n.a. | n.a. | 17% | DEFM14A Includes stock |
Flushing Financial Corp 2025-12-29 · Public merger · $19.76 a share Held out of the multiples: consideration includes stock: the cash figure is not the price; EV / LTM revenue 69.0x above 60x | OceanFirst Financial Corp. Strategic | Financials | $525m | n.a. | 69.0x | n.a. | DEFM14A Includes stock |
LINKBANCORP, Inc. 2025-12-18 · Public merger · $7.95 a share Held out of the multiples: consideration includes stock: the cash figure is not the price | Burke & Herbert Strategic | Financials | $206m | n.a. | 1.1x | n.a. | DEFM14A Includes stock |
Comerica Inc 2025-10-05 · Public merger · $82.88 a share Held out of the multiples: consideration includes stock: the cash figure is not the price | Fifth Third Bancorp Strategic | Financials | $11bn | n.a. | 14.8x | n.a. | DEFM14A Includes stock |
CFSB Bancorp, Inc. /MA/ 2025-08-15 (filed) · Public merger · $14.25 a share | Hometown Financial Group Strategic | Financials | $69m | n.a. | n.a. | n.a. | DEFM14A All cash |
PB Bankshares, Inc. 2025-07-07 · Public merger · $19.75 a share Held out of the multiples: consideration includes stock: the cash figure is not the price | Norwood Financial Corp Strategic | Financials | $38m | n.a. | 32.0x | n.a. | DEFM14A Includes stock |
Provident Bancorp, Inc. /MD/ 2025-06-05 · Public merger · $13.00 a share Held out of the multiples: consideration includes stock: the cash figure is not the price | NB Bancorp, Inc. Strategic | Financials | $255m | n.a. | n.a. | 8% | DEFM14A Includes stock |
HarborOne Bancorp, Inc. 2025-04-24 · Public merger · $12.00 a share Held out of the multiples: consideration includes stock: the cash figure is not the price | Eastern Bankshares, Inc. Strategic | Financials | $846m | n.a. | n.a. | n.a. | DEFM14A Includes stock |
Old Point Financial Corp 2025-04-02 · Public merger · $41.00 a share Held out of the multiples: consideration includes stock: the cash figure is not the price | The Old Point National Bank of Phoebus Strategic | Financials | $77m | n.a. | 0.9x | n.a. | DEFM14A Includes stock |
ESSA Bancorp, Inc. 2025-01-09 · Public merger · $21.00 a share Held out of the multiples: consideration includes stock: the cash figure is not the price | CNB Bank Strategic | Financials | $543m | n.a. | n.a. | n.a. | DEFM14A Includes stock |
Enterprise Bancorp Inc /Ma/ 2024-12-08 · Public merger · $2.00 a share Held out of the multiples: consideration includes stock: the cash figure is not the price | Rockland Trust Strategic | Financials | -$64m | n.a. | n.a. | 24% | DEFM14A Includes stock |
Evans Bancorp Inc 2024-11-07 (filed) · Public merger · $42.11 a share Held out of the multiples: consideration includes stock: the cash figure is not the price | NBT Bancorp Inc. Strategic | Financials | $105m | n.a. | 50.0x | n.a. | DEFM14A Includes stock |
William Penn Bancorporation 2024-10-31 · Public merger · $13.58 a share Held out of the multiples: consideration includes stock: the cash figure is not the price | Mid Penn Strategic | Financials | $99m | n.a. | n.a. | n.a. | DEFM14A Includes stock |
BM Technologies, Inc. 2024-10-24 · Public merger · $5.00 a share | First Carolina Bank Strategic | Financials | $49m | n.a. | 0.9x | 54% | DEFM14A All cash |
Sandy Spring Bancorp Inc 2024-10-21 · Public merger · $35.11 a share Held out of the multiples: consideration includes stock: the cash figure is not the price | Atlantic Union Strategic | Financials | $834m | n.a. | n.a. | n.a. | DEFM14A Includes stock |
Heartland Financial Usa Inc 2024-04-28 · Public merger · $45.74 a share Held out of the multiples: consideration includes stock: the cash figure is not the price | UMB Financial Corporation Strategic | Financials | $2.5bn | n.a. | 26.0x | 28% | DEFM14A Includes stock |
Macatawa Bank Corp 2024-04-15 · Public merger · $13.83 a share Held out of the multiples: consideration includes stock: the cash figure is not the price | Wintrust Financial Corporation Strategic | Financials | $55m | n.a. | n.a. | n.a. | DEFM14A Includes stock |
California BanCorp 2024-01-30 · Public merger · $26.54 a share Held out of the multiples: consideration includes stock: the cash figure is not the price | Southern California Bancorp Strategic | Financials | $10m | n.a. | n.a. | n.a. | DEFM14A Includes stock |
CapStar Financial Holdings, Inc. 2023-10-26 · Public merger · $15.11 a share Held out of the multiples: consideration includes stock: the cash figure is not the price; no balance sheet at announcement: EV = equity value; EV / LTM revenue 87.4x above 60x | Old National Bancorp Strategic | Financials | $315m | n.a. | 87.4x | 10% | DEFM14A Includes stock |
Cambridge Bancorp 2023-09-19 · Public merger · $62.30 a share Held out of the multiples: consideration includes stock: the cash figure is not the price | Eastern Bankshares, Inc. Strategic | Financials | $455m | n.a. | n.a. | n.a. | DEFM14A Includes stock |
Pacwest Bancorp 2023-07-25 · Public merger · $12.30 a share Held out of the multiples: consideration includes stock: the cash figure is not the price | Banc of California, Inc. Strategic | Financials | $1.1bn | n.a. | 34.1x | n.a. | DEFM14A Includes stock |
How to use a set like this
Cut to the narrowest set that still holds eight or ten deals, then quote the range rather than the median. An interviewer who asks where software takes out will accept a spread and press on a single number, because the single number implies a precision the set does not have. Say which deals sit at each end and why: the top of a range is usually a contested auction or a strategic buyer with synergies, the bottom a controlling holder buying in the minority.
Premiums move with the reference price, not only with the deal. A bidder quotes the period that flatters the offer, so read the premium to the unaffected close beside the premium to the thirty-day average and notice when they diverge.
What each column means
- Enterprise value.
- Offer per share times shares outstanding, plus net debt at the last balance sheet before the merger agreement. It is blank where either piece was missing, and those rows are in the “not computed” band rather than in a size they never earned.
- Premium.
- The offer against the unaffected price, which is the last close before the deal became known. Where the filing states a premium to the thirty-day volume-weighted average, that is shown next to it.
- Deal type.
- A take-private is bought by an affiliate, which is what triggers the Schedule 13E-3 and the fuller disclosure that comes with it. A public merger is an arm’s-length buyer, disclosed through the merger proxy.
- In doubt.
- A cross-check the reading could not satisfy: an equity value far from the fee-table figure, a multiple outside any sane band, or consideration that is partly stock so the per-share cash figure is not the price. The row stays visible, and it is set aside only for the measures the doubt reaches. A cash-and-stock deal cannot price a multiple and still states a premium the filing itself computed, so it counts in one and not the other.
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