The deal tape
A precedent transactions set answers one question: what did somebody actually pay for a company like this one. Every row here is a US public target that filed a merger proxy or a going-private statement since 2020, with the offer per share, the premium to the unaffected price and the enterprise value multiples read from the filing itself rather than bought from a feed. Choose a sector, an industry code and a size band, and the quartiles above the list are the answer for that cut.
What it is not. Private-company deals, non-US targets and any transaction where no proxy was required leave nothing to read, so none of them are here. Neither are minority stakes or asset sales. Where a cross-check failed, the row still appears and says why, and it is held out of every median and quartile so one bad reading cannot move a number you would quote.
189 deals in this cut, 121 of them safe to take a multiple from and 187 safe to take a premium from. Enterprise value is stated where a balance sheet and a share count could be read at the period end before announcement.
What this cut was bought at
Each measure counts the readings that survive its own cross-checks. Fewer than 4 is a coincidence, not a market.
| Measure | Deals | 25th | Median | 75th |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 73 | 10.4x | 12.9x | 19.3x |
| EV / LTM revenue | 100 | 0.8x | 1.6x | 2.6x |
| Premium to unaffected price | 108 | 22% | 33% | 54% |
| Premium to 30-day VWAP | 15 | 26% | 39% | 47% |
Read the EBITDA multiple against the revenue multiple before you use either. Where they disagree sharply the target was priced on growth rather than earnings, and the EBITDA line is the one that will not survive a second question.
| Target | Acquirer | Industry | EV | EV / EBITDA | EV / revenue | Premium | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Arcosa, Inc. 2026-06-21 · Public merger · $150.00 a share | CRH Americas, Inc. Strategic | Industrials | $8.7bn | 15.7x | 3.1x | 10% | DEFM14A All cash |
Electro Sensors Inc 2026-04-20 · Public merger · $7.75 a share | Inc. Strategic | Industrials | $17m | n.a. | 1.6x | 75% | DEFM14A All cash |
NCR Atleos Corp 2026-02-26 · Public merger · $30.00 a share Held out of the multiples: consideration includes stock: the cash figure is not the price | The Brink’s Company Strategic | Industrials | $4.5bn | 6.0x | 1.0x | n.a. | DEFM14A Includes stock |
Marine Products Group, LLC 2026-02-05 · Public merger · $2.43 a share Held out of the multiples: consideration includes stock: the cash figure is not the price | MasterCraft Boat Holdings, Inc., Inc., LLC Strategic | Industrials | $42m | 2.4x | 0.2x | n.a. | DEFM14A Includes stock |
CRAWFORD UNITED Corp 2025-12-05 · Public merger · $84.44 a share | SPX Enterprises, LLC Strategic | Industrials | $236m | 8.3x | 1.4x | n.a. | DEFM14A All cash |
Gulf Island Fabrication Inc 2025-11-07 · Public merger · $12.00 a share | IES Holdings, Inc. Strategic | Industrials | $188m | 15.8x | 1.1x | n.a. | DEFM14A All cash |
REV Group, Inc. 2025-10-29 · Public merger · $8.71 a share Held out of the multiples: consideration includes stock: the cash figure is not the price | Terex Corporation Strategic | Industrials | $479m | 2.5x | 0.2x | n.a. | DEFM14A Includes stock |
Olympic Steel Inc 2025-10-28 · Public merger · $39.26 a share Held out of the multiples: consideration includes stock: the cash figure is not the price | Crimson MS Corp. Strategic | Industrials | $673m | 9.7x | 0.3x | 32% | DEFM14A Includes stock |
Veeco Instruments Inc 2025-09-30 · Public merger · $10.15 a share Held out of the multiples: consideration includes stock: the cash figure is not the price | Axcelis Technologies, Inc. Strategic | Industrials | $467m | 7.5x | 0.7x | 15% | DEFM14A Includes stock |
Norfolk Southern Corp 2025-07-28 · Public merger · $88.82 a share Held out of the multiples: consideration includes stock: the cash figure is not the price | Union Pacific Strategic | Industrials | $36bn | 5.6x | 3.0x | n.a. 25% to VWAP | DEFM14A Includes stock |
Chart Industries Inc 2025-07-28 · Public merger · $210.00 a share Held out of the multiples: consideration includes stock: the cash figure is not the price | Baker Hughes Company Strategic | Industrials | $13bn | 13.2x | 3.0x | 30% | DEFM14A Includes stock |
Cantaloupe, Inc. 2025-06-15 · Public merger · $11.20 a share | 365 Retail Markets, LLC Strategic | Industrials | $811m | 22.7x | 2.8x | 34% | DEFM14A All cash |
Faro Technologies Inc 2025-05-05 · Public merger · $44.00 a share | AMETEK, Inc. Strategic | Industrials | $814m | 28.3x | 2.4x | 40% 61% to VWAP | DEFM14A All cash |
Radius Recycling, Inc. 2025-03-13 · Public merger · $30.00 a share | Toyota Tsusho America, Inc. Strategic | Industrials | $431m | n.a. | 0.2x | 115% | DEFM14A All cash |
Redwire Corp 2025-01-20 · Public merger · $1.00 a share Held out of the multiples: consideration includes stock: the cash figure is not the price | Edge Autonomy Ultimate Holdings, LP Strategic | Industrials | $159m | n.a. | 0.5x | n.a. | DEFM14A Includes stock |
Akoya Biosciences, Inc. 2025-01-09 · Public merger · $0.38 a share Held out of the multiples: consideration includes stock: the cash figure is not the price | Stock Consideration, Inc. Strategic | Industrials | $60m | n.a. | 0.7x | 24% | DEFM14A Includes stock |
VOXX International Corp 2024-12-17 · Take-private · $7.50 a share Held out of every statistic: premium of 163%: distressed or misread; equity value 17 vs fee-table value 177 Board book on file → | Gentex Corp Strategic | Industrials | $30m | n.a. | 0.1x | 163% | SC 13E3 All cash |
Shyft Group, Inc. 2024-12-16 · Public merger · $12.51 a share Held out of the multiples: consideration includes stock: the cash figure is not the price | Aebi Schmidt Holding AG Strategic | Industrials | $552m | 29.7x | 0.7x | n.a. | DEFM14A Includes stock |
Markforged Holding Corp 2024-09-25 · Public merger · $5.00 a share | Nano Dimension Ltd. Strategic | Industrials | $943m | n.a. | 10.9x | 83% | DEFM14A All cash |
Manitex International, Inc. 2024-09-12 · Take-private · $5.80 a share Board book on file → | Lift SPC Inc. Strategic | Industrials | $199m | 6.5x | 0.7x | 52% 48% to VWAP | SC 13E3 All cash |
Cepton, Inc. 2024-07-29 · Take-private · $3.17 a share Board book on file → | Koito Manufacturing Co., LTD. Strategic | Industrials | -$6m | n.a. | -0.3x | 25% | SC 13E3 All cash |
Desktop Metal, Inc. 2024-07-02 · Public merger · $5.50 a share | Nano Dimension Ltd., Inc. Strategic | Industrials | $1.8bn | n.a. | 10.2x | 27% | DEFM14A All cash |
ChampionX Corp 2024-04-02 · Public merger · $37.80 a share Held out of the multiples: consideration includes stock: the cash figure is not the price | Schlumberger Limited Strategic | Industrials | $7.4bn | 10.4x | 2.0x | 15% | DEFM14A Includes stock |
Starrett L S Co 2024-03-08 · Public merger · $16.19 a share | Uhu Inc. Strategic | Industrials | $115m | 5.9x | 0.5x | 63% 41% to VWAP | DEFM14A All cash |
Astra Space, Inc. 2024-03-07 · Take-private · $0.50 a share Board book on file → | Apogee Merger Sub Inc. Strategic | Industrials | $6m | n.a. | 1.4x | 103% | SC 13E3 All cash |
How to use a set like this
Cut to the narrowest set that still holds eight or ten deals, then quote the range rather than the median. An interviewer who asks where software takes out will accept a spread and press on a single number, because the single number implies a precision the set does not have. Say which deals sit at each end and why: the top of a range is usually a contested auction or a strategic buyer with synergies, the bottom a controlling holder buying in the minority.
Premiums move with the reference price, not only with the deal. A bidder quotes the period that flatters the offer, so read the premium to the unaffected close beside the premium to the thirty-day average and notice when they diverge.
What each column means
- Enterprise value.
- Offer per share times shares outstanding, plus net debt at the last balance sheet before the merger agreement. It is blank where either piece was missing, and those rows are in the “not computed” band rather than in a size they never earned.
- Premium.
- The offer against the unaffected price, which is the last close before the deal became known. Where the filing states a premium to the thirty-day volume-weighted average, that is shown next to it.
- Deal type.
- A take-private is bought by an affiliate, which is what triggers the Schedule 13E-3 and the fuller disclosure that comes with it. A public merger is an arm’s-length buyer, disclosed through the merger proxy.
- In doubt.
- A cross-check the reading could not satisfy: an equity value far from the fee-table figure, a multiple outside any sane band, or consideration that is partly stock so the per-share cash figure is not the price. The row stays visible, and it is set aside only for the measures the doubt reaches. A cash-and-stock deal cannot price a multiple and still states a premium the filing itself computed, so it counts in one and not the other.
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