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The deal tape

A precedent transactions set answers one question: what did somebody actually pay for a company like this one. Every row here is a US public target that filed a merger proxy or a going-private statement since 2020, with the offer per share, the premium to the unaffected price and the enterprise value multiples read from the filing itself rather than bought from a feed. Choose a sector, an industry code and a size band, and the quartiles above the list are the answer for that cut.

What it is not. Private-company deals, non-US targets and any transaction where no proxy was required leave nothing to read, so none of them are here. Neither are minority stakes or asset sales. Where a cross-check failed, the row still appears and says why, and it is held out of every median and quartile so one bad reading cannot move a number you would quote.

What this cut was bought at

Each measure counts the readings that survive its own cross-checks. Fewer than 4 is a coincidence, not a market.

MeasureDeals25thMedian75th
EV / LTM EBITDA0Too thin to quote. Widen the cut.
EV / LTM revenue0Too thin to quote. Widen the cut.
Premium to unaffected price0Too thin to quote. Widen the cut.
Premium to 30-day VWAP0Too thin to quote. Widen the cut.

Read the EBITDA multiple against the revenue multiple before you use either. Where they disagree sharply the target was priced on growth rather than earnings, and the EBITDA line is the one that will not survive a second question.

Deals by year of announcement
015302009: 3 deals, 0 clean on every measure200932010: 12 deals, 1 clean on every measure2010122011: 13 deals, 4 clean on every measure2011132012: 25 deals, 13 clean on every measure2012252013: 22 deals, 8 clean on every measure2013222014: 26 deals, 4 clean on every measure2014262015: 25 deals, 7 clean on every measure2015252016: 30 deals, 9 clean on every measure2016302017: 21 deals, 5 clean on every measure2017212018: 24 deals, 7 clean on every measure2018242019: 16 deals, 1 clean on every measure2019162020: 15 deals, 5 clean on every measure2020152021: 30 deals, 6 clean on every measure2021302022: 12 deals, 4 clean on every measure2022122023: 8 deals, 3 clean on every measure202382024: 12 deals, 3 clean on every measure2024122025: 16 deals, 3 clean on every measure2025162026: 6 deals, 2 clean on every measure20266
Clean on every measure In doubt on one measure or both
Median EV / LTM EBITDA by sector

No cut here holds enough clean readings to quote.

Deals by sector
Financials: 3 dealsFinancials3Technology: 3 dealsTechnology3Consumer & Retail: 1 dealsConsumer & Retail1
Deals by buyer type
Financial sponsor: 0 dealsFinancial sponsor0Strategic: 3 dealsStrategic3Management / founder: 0 dealsManagement / founder0Controlling holder: 0 dealsControlling holder0Acquisition vehicle: 0 dealsAcquisition vehicle0Unclassified: 1 dealsUnclassified1
Deals by enterprise value
Under $250m: 2 dealsUnder $250m2$250m to $1bn: 1 deals$250m to $1bn1$1bn to $5bn: 0 deals$1bn to $5bn0$5bn to $20bn: 0 deals$5bn to $20bn0Over $20bn: 0 dealsOver $20bn0Not computed: 0 dealsNot computed0
Deals by industry code
Depository Institutions: 2 dealsDepository Institutions2Non-Depository Credit Institutions: 1 dealsNon-Depository Credit I…1
TargetAcquirerIndustryEVEV / EBITDAEV / revenuePremiumFiling
Financial Federal Corp
2009-11-22 · Public merger · $11.27 a share
Held out of the multiples: no balance sheet at announcement: EV = equity value
People’s United Financial, Inc.
Strategic
Financials$292mn.a.n.a.
n.a.
DEFM14A
All cash
First Keystone Financial Inc
2009-11-03 · Public merger · $2.06 a share
Held out of the multiples: consideration includes stock: the cash figure is not the price; no balance sheet at announcement: EV = equity value
Bryn Mawr Bank Corporation
Strategic
Financials$5mn.a.n.a.
n.a.
DEFM14A
Includes stock
First Litchfield Financial Corp
2009-10-25 · Public merger · $15.00 a share
Held out of the multiples: no balance sheet at announcement: EV = equity value
Union Savings Bank
Strategic
Financials$35mn.a.n.a.
n.a.
DEFM14A
All cash

How to use a set like this

Cut to the narrowest set that still holds eight or ten deals, then quote the range rather than the median. An interviewer who asks where software takes out will accept a spread and press on a single number, because the single number implies a precision the set does not have. Say which deals sit at each end and why: the top of a range is usually a contested auction or a strategic buyer with synergies, the bottom a controlling holder buying in the minority.

Premiums move with the reference price, not only with the deal. A bidder quotes the period that flatters the offer, so read the premium to the unaffected close beside the premium to the thirty-day average and notice when they diverge.

What each column means

Enterprise value.
Offer per share times shares outstanding, plus net debt at the last balance sheet before the merger agreement. It is blank where either piece was missing, and those rows are in the “not computed” band rather than in a size they never earned.
Premium.
The offer against the unaffected price, which is the last close before the deal became known. Where the filing states a premium to the thirty-day volume-weighted average, that is shown next to it.
Deal type.
A take-private is bought by an affiliate, which is what triggers the Schedule 13E-3 and the fuller disclosure that comes with it. A public merger is an arm’s-length buyer, disclosed through the merger proxy.
In doubt.
A cross-check the reading could not satisfy: an equity value far from the fee-table figure, a multiple outside any sane band, or consideration that is partly stock so the per-share cash figure is not the price. The row stays visible, and it is set aside only for the measures the doubt reaches. A cash-and-stock deal cannot price a multiple and still states a premium the filing itself computed, so it counts in one and not the other.

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