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The deal tape

A precedent transactions set answers one question: what did somebody actually pay for a company like this one. Every row here is a US public target that filed a merger proxy or a going-private statement since 2020, with the offer per share, the premium to the unaffected price and the enterprise value multiples read from the filing itself rather than bought from a feed. Choose a sector, an industry code and a size band, and the quartiles above the list are the answer for that cut.

What it is not. Private-company deals, non-US targets and any transaction where no proxy was required leave nothing to read, so none of them are here. Neither are minority stakes or asset sales. Where a cross-check failed, the row still appears and says why, and it is held out of every median and quartile so one bad reading cannot move a number you would quote.

What this cut was bought at

Each measure counts the readings that survive its own cross-checks. Fewer than 4 is a coincidence, not a market.

MeasureDeals25thMedian75th
EV / LTM EBITDA0Too thin to quote. Widen the cut.
EV / LTM revenue0Too thin to quote. Widen the cut.
Premium to unaffected price4714%21%37%
Premium to 30-day VWAP0Too thin to quote. Widen the cut.

Read the EBITDA multiple against the revenue multiple before you use either. Where they disagree sharply the target was priced on growth rather than earnings, and the EBITDA line is the one that will not survive a second question.

Deals by year of announcement
013252009: 2 deals, 0 clean on every measure200922010: 6 deals, 1 clean on every measure201062011: 7 deals, 1 clean on every measure201172012: 15 deals, 5 clean on every measure2012152013: 15 deals, 3 clean on every measure2013152014: 21 deals, 2 clean on every measure2014212015: 16 deals, 2 clean on every measure2015162016: 25 deals, 6 clean on every measure2016252017: 14 deals, 0 clean on every measure2017142018: 12 deals, 2 clean on every measure2018122019: 12 deals, 1 clean on every measure2019122020: 7 deals, 1 clean on every measure202072021: 22 deals, 1 clean on every measure2021222022: 8 deals, 1 clean on every measure202282023: 4 deals, 0 clean on every measure202342024: 8 deals, 1 clean on every measure202482025: 9 deals, 1 clean on every measure202592026: 5 deals, 1 clean on every measure20265
Clean on every measure In doubt on one measure or both
Median EV / LTM EBITDA by sector

No cut here holds enough clean readings to quote.

Deals by sector
Financials: 208 dealsFinancials208
Deals by buyer type
Financial sponsor: 3 dealsFinancial sponsor3Strategic: 208 dealsStrategic208Management / founder: 0 dealsManagement / founder0Controlling holder: 0 dealsControlling holder0Acquisition vehicle: 0 dealsAcquisition vehicle0Unclassified: 78 dealsUnclassified78
Deals by enterprise value
Under $250m: 141 dealsUnder $250m141$250m to $1bn: 36 deals$250m to $1bn36$1bn to $5bn: 24 deals$1bn to $5bn24$5bn to $20bn: 6 deals$5bn to $20bn6Over $20bn: 1 dealsOver $20bn1Not computed: 0 dealsNot computed0
Deals by industry code
Business Services & Software: 229 dealsBusiness Services & Sof…229Depository Institutions: 208 dealsDepository Institutions208Chemicals, Pharmaceuticals & Allied Products: 176 dealsChemicals, Pharmaceutic…176Electronics & Electrical Equipment: 129 dealsElectronics & Electrica…129Instruments, Medical Devices & Optical Goods: 97 dealsInstruments, Medical De…97Holding & Other Investment Offices: 82 dealsHolding & Other Investm…82Oil & Gas Extraction: 76 dealsOil & Gas Extraction76Industrial Machinery & Computers: 66 dealsIndustrial Machinery & …66Electric, Gas & Sanitary Services: 66 dealsElectric, Gas & Sanitar…66Communications: 64 dealsCommunications64
TargetAcquirerIndustryEVEV / EBITDAEV / revenuePremiumFiling
Sterling Bancorp
2021-04-18 · Public merger · $26.56 a share
Held out of the multiples: consideration includes stock: the cash figure is not the price; EV / LTM revenue 204.6x above 60x
Webster Financial Corporation
Strategic
Financials$4.9bnn.a.204.6x
n.a.
DEFM14A
Includes stock
Marlin Business Services Corp
2021-04-18 · Public merger · $23.50 a share
Madeira Holdings, LLC
Strategic
Financials$171mn.a.31.7x
65%
DEFM14A
All cash
Severn Bancorp Inc
2021-03-03 · Public merger · $1.59 a share
Held out of the multiples: consideration includes stock: the cash figure is not the price
Shore Bancshares, Inc.
Strategic
Financials-$136mn.a.n.a.
n.a.
DEFM14A
Includes stock
People's United Financial, Inc.
2021-02-21 · Public merger · $17.70 a share
Held out of the multiples: consideration includes stock: the cash figure is not the price
M&T Bank Corporation
Strategic
Financials$532mn.a.n.a.
13%
DEFM14A
Includes stock
Kentucky Bancshares Inc /Ky/
2021-01-27 · Public merger · $4.75 a share
Held out of the multiples: consideration includes stock: the cash figure is not the price
Stock Yards Bancorp
Strategic
Financials-$11mn.a.n.a.
n.a.
DEFM14A
Includes stock
Boston Private Financial Holdings Inc
2021-01-04 · Public merger · $2.10 a share
Held out of the multiples: consideration includes stock: the cash figure is not the price
Silicon Valley Bank
Strategic
Financials-$883mn.a.-2.7x
n.a.
DEFM14A
Includes stock
Tcf Financial Corp
2020-12-13 · Public merger · $38.83 a share
Held out of the multiples: consideration includes stock: the cash figure is not the price
Huntington Bancshares Incorporated
Strategic
Financials$5.7bnn.a.8.1x
12%
DEFM14A
Includes stock
Standard AVB Financial Corp.
2020-09-24 · Public merger · $33.00 a share
Dollar Mutual Bancorp
Strategic
Financials$79mn.a.n.a.
n.a.
DEFM14A
All cash
Dime Community Bancshares Inc
2020-07-01 · Public merger · $25.00 a share
Held out of the multiples: consideration includes stock: the cash figure is not the price; EV / LTM revenue 125.5x above 60x
Bridge Bancorp, Inc.
Strategic
Financials$716mn.a.125.5x
n.a.
DEFM14A
Includes stock
Sb One Bancorp
2020-03-11 · Public merger · $17.21 a share
Held out of the multiples: consideration includes stock: the cash figure is not the price
Provident Financial Services, Inc.
Strategic
Financials$351mn.a.n.a.
n.a.
DEFM14A
Includes stock
E Trade Financial Corp
2020-02-20 · Public merger · $57.92 a share
Held out of the multiples: consideration includes stock: the cash figure is not the price
Morgan Stanley
Strategic
Financials$14bnn.a.4.7x
27%
DEFM14A
Includes stock
Franklin Financial Network Inc.
2020-01-21 · Public merger · $2.00 a share
Held out of the multiples: consideration includes stock: the cash figure is not the price
FB Financial
Strategic
Financials-$206mn.a.n.a.
n.a.
DEFM14A
Includes stock
Norwood Financial Corp
2020-01-08 · Public merger · $33.33 a share
Held out of the multiples: consideration includes stock: the cash figure is not the price
Wayne Bank
Strategic
Financials$257mn.a.47.6x
n.a.
DEFM14A
Includes stock
Msb Financial Corp
2019-12-18 · Public merger · $18.00 a share
Held out of the multiples: consideration includes stock: the cash figure is not the price
Kearny Financial Corp.
Strategic
Financials$78mn.a.n.a.
n.a.
DEFM14A
Includes stock
Carolina Financial Corp
2019-11-17 · Public merger · $10.57 a share
Held out of the multiples: consideration includes stock: the cash figure is not the price
United Bankshares
Strategic
Financials$618mn.a.n.a.
n.a.
DEFM14A
Includes stock
Iberiabank Corp
2019-11-03 · Public merger · $74.77 a share
Held out of the multiples: consideration includes stock: the cash figure is not the price
First Horizon National Corporation
Strategic
Financials$4.9bnn.a.n.a.
n.a.
DEFM14A
Includes stock
Mutualfirst Financial Inc
2019-10-29 · Public merger · $39.89 a share
Held out of the multiples: consideration includes stock: the cash figure is not the price
Northwest Bancshares, Inc.
Strategic
Financials$309mn.a.n.a.
n.a.
DEFM14A
Includes stock
PB Bancorp, Inc.
2019-10-22 · Public merger · $15.25 a share
Putnam Bank
Strategic
Financials$69mn.a.n.a.
n.a.
DEFM14A
All cash
United Community Financial Corp
2019-09-09 · Public merger · $9.78 a share
Held out of the multiples: consideration includes stock: the cash figure is not the price
First Defiance Financial Corp.
Strategic
Financials$443mn.a.n.a.
2%
DEFM14A
Includes stock
Bancorp of New Jersey, Inc.
2019-08-15 · Public merger · $16.25 a share
Held out of the multiples: consideration includes stock: the cash figure is not the price
ConnectOne Bancorp, Inc.
Strategic
Financials$32mn.a.n.a.
n.a.
DEFM14A
Includes stock
Two River Bancorp
2019-08-09 · Public merger · $5.38 a share
Held out of the multiples: consideration includes stock: the cash figure is not the price
OceanFirst Financial Corp.
Strategic
Financials-$23mn.a.-17.9x
50%
DEFM14A
Includes stock
Stewardship Financial Corp
2019-06-06 · Public merger · $15.75 a share
Held out of the multiples: consideration includes stock: the cash figure is not the price
Columbia Financial, Inc.
Strategic
Financials$124mn.a.47.7x
n.a.
DEFM14A
Includes stock
Entegra Financial Corp.
2019-04-23 · Public merger · $30.18 a share
Held out of the multiples: consideration includes stock: the cash figure is not the price; EV / LTM revenue 110.5x above 60x
First Citizens
Strategic
Financials$111mn.a.110.5x
n.a.
DEFM14A
Includes stock
Suntrust Banks Inc
2019-02-07 · Public merger · $63.56 a share
Held out of the multiples: consideration includes stock: the cash figure is not the price
BB&T Corporation dated as of February 7
Strategic
Financials$45bnn.a.13.9x
n.a.
DEFM14A
Includes stock
Hopfed Bancorp Inc
2019-01-07 · Public merger · $21.00 a share
Held out of the multiples: consideration includes stock: the cash figure is not the price
First Financial Corporation
Strategic
Financials$88mn.a.30.2x
n.a.
DEFM14A
Includes stock

How to use a set like this

Cut to the narrowest set that still holds eight or ten deals, then quote the range rather than the median. An interviewer who asks where software takes out will accept a spread and press on a single number, because the single number implies a precision the set does not have. Say which deals sit at each end and why: the top of a range is usually a contested auction or a strategic buyer with synergies, the bottom a controlling holder buying in the minority.

Premiums move with the reference price, not only with the deal. A bidder quotes the period that flatters the offer, so read the premium to the unaffected close beside the premium to the thirty-day average and notice when they diverge.

What each column means

Enterprise value.
Offer per share times shares outstanding, plus net debt at the last balance sheet before the merger agreement. It is blank where either piece was missing, and those rows are in the “not computed” band rather than in a size they never earned.
Premium.
The offer against the unaffected price, which is the last close before the deal became known. Where the filing states a premium to the thirty-day volume-weighted average, that is shown next to it.
Deal type.
A take-private is bought by an affiliate, which is what triggers the Schedule 13E-3 and the fuller disclosure that comes with it. A public merger is an arm’s-length buyer, disclosed through the merger proxy.
In doubt.
A cross-check the reading could not satisfy: an equity value far from the fee-table figure, a multiple outside any sane band, or consideration that is partly stock so the per-share cash figure is not the price. The row stays visible, and it is set aside only for the measures the doubt reaches. A cash-and-stock deal cannot price a multiple and still states a premium the filing itself computed, so it counts in one and not the other.

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