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The deal tape

A precedent transactions set answers one question: what did somebody actually pay for a company like this one. Every row here is a US public target that filed a merger proxy or a going-private statement since 2020, with the offer per share, the premium to the unaffected price and the enterprise value multiples read from the filing itself rather than bought from a feed. Choose a sector, an industry code and a size band, and the quartiles above the list are the answer for that cut.

What it is not. Private-company deals, non-US targets and any transaction where no proxy was required leave nothing to read, so none of them are here. Neither are minority stakes or asset sales. Where a cross-check failed, the row still appears and says why, and it is held out of every median and quartile so one bad reading cannot move a number you would quote.

What this cut was bought at

Each measure counts the readings that survive its own cross-checks. Fewer than 4 is a coincidence, not a market.

MeasureDeals25thMedian75th
EV / LTM EBITDA4028.9x13.2x19.5x
EV / LTM revenue5890.9x1.9x3.7x
Premium to unaffected price74619%31%48%
Premium to 30-day VWAP11715%30%44%

Read the EBITDA multiple against the revenue multiple before you use either. Where they disagree sharply the target was priced on growth rather than earnings, and the EBITDA line is the one that will not survive a second question.

Deals by year of announcement
0601202009: 6 deals, 1 clean on every measure200962010: 70 deals, 15 clean on every measure2010702011: 72 deals, 39 clean on every measure2011722012: 96 deals, 57 clean on every measure2012962013: 95 deals, 57 clean on every measure2013952014: 109 deals, 46 clean on every measure20141092015: 108 deals, 51 clean on every measure20151082016: 106 deals, 54 clean on every measure20161062017: 107 deals, 49 clean on every measure20171072018: 111 deals, 56 clean on every measure20181112019: 107 deals, 52 clean on every measure20191072020: 66 deals, 24 clean on every measure2020662021: 120 deals, 56 clean on every measure20211202022: 79 deals, 44 clean on every measure2022792023: 74 deals, 32 clean on every measure2023742024: 73 deals, 48 clean on every measure2024732025: 95 deals, 43 clean on every measure2025952026: 50 deals, 19 clean on every measure202650
Clean on every measure In doubt on one measure or both
Median EV / LTM EBITDA by sector
Financials: 21.0x median across 8 dealsFinancials21.0xn=8Technology: 19.0x median across 82 dealsTechnology19.0xn=82Healthcare: 18.4x median across 43 dealsHealthcare18.4xn=43Real Estate: 17.2x median across 19 dealsReal Estate17.2xn=19Industrials: 13.8x median across 66 dealsIndustrials13.8xn=66Business Services: 13.2x median across 23 dealsBusiness Services13.2xn=23Utilities: 11.2x median across 30 dealsUtilities11.2xn=30Other: 10.9x median across 17 dealsOther10.9xn=17Materials: 10.2x median across 17 dealsMaterials10.2xn=17Energy: 9.8x median across 15 dealsEnergy9.8xn=15Consumer & Retail: 9.6x median across 65 dealsConsumer & Retail9.6xn=65Media & Telecom: 9.3x median across 17 dealsMedia & Telecom9.3xn=17
Deals by sector
Financials: 298 dealsFinancials298Technology: 247 dealsTechnology247Healthcare: 228 dealsHealthcare228Industrials: 164 dealsIndustrials164Consumer & Retail: 120 dealsConsumer & Retail120Real Estate: 93 dealsReal Estate93Energy: 92 dealsEnergy92Business Services: 80 dealsBusiness Services80Media & Telecom: 68 dealsMedia & Telecom68Utilities: 58 dealsUtilities58Other: 49 dealsOther49Materials: 47 dealsMaterials47
Deals by buyer type
Financial sponsor: 68 dealsFinancial sponsor68Strategic: 1544 dealsStrategic1544Management / founder: 0 dealsManagement / founder0Controlling holder: 0 dealsControlling holder0Acquisition vehicle: 0 dealsAcquisition vehicle0Unclassified: 887 dealsUnclassified887
Deals by enterprise value
Under $250m: 498 dealsUnder $250m498$250m to $1bn: 340 deals$250m to $1bn340$1bn to $5bn: 437 deals$1bn to $5bn437$5bn to $20bn: 213 deals$5bn to $20bn213Over $20bn: 49 dealsOver $20bn49Not computed: 7 dealsNot computed7
Deals by industry code
Depository Institutions: 206 dealsDepository Institutions206Business Services & Software: 186 dealsBusiness Services & Sof…186Chemicals, Pharmaceuticals & Allied Products: 148 dealsChemicals, Pharmaceutic…148Electronics & Electrical Equipment: 118 dealsElectronics & Electrica…118Instruments, Medical Devices & Optical Goods: 91 dealsInstruments, Medical De…91Holding & Other Investment Offices: 76 dealsHolding & Other Investm…76Oil & Gas Extraction: 71 dealsOil & Gas Extraction71Industrial Machinery & Computers: 61 dealsIndustrial Machinery & …61Electric, Gas & Sanitary Services: 58 dealsElectric, Gas & Sanitar…58Communications: 53 dealsCommunications53
TargetAcquirerIndustryEVEV / EBITDAEV / revenuePremiumFiling
Carey Watermark Investors Inc
2019-10-22 · Public merger · $0.51 a share
Held out of the multiples: consideration includes stock: the cash figure is not the price
Cwi 1
Strategic
Real Estate$1.3bn7.9x2.1x
n.a.
DEFM14A
Includes stock
Achillion Pharmaceuticals Inc
2019-10-15 · Public merger · $6.30 a share
Alexion Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
Strategic
Healthcare$726mn.a.n.a.
n.a.
DEFM14A
All cash
Pressburg, LLC
2019-10-01 · Public merger · $1.52 a share
Citizen Energy Operating, LLC
Strategic
Energy$963mn.a.1.6x
24%
DEFM14A
All cash
Lumos Pharma, Inc.
2019-09-30 · Public merger · $1.75 a share
2019, Inc.
Strategic
Healthcare-$33mn.a.-47.4x
n.a.
DEFM14A
All cash
Arotech Corp
2019-09-22 · Public merger · $3.00 a share
Argonaut Intermediate, Inc.
Strategic
Technology$84m22.1x0.9x
33%
DEFM14A
All cash
Rich Uncles Real Estate Investment Trust I
2019-09-19 · Public merger · $10.00 a share
Held out of the multiples: consideration includes stock: the cash figure is not the price
NNN Reit
Strategic
Real Estate$142mn.a.n.a.
n.a.
DEFM14A
Includes stock
SemGroup Corp
2019-09-15 · Public merger · $6.80 a share
Held out of the multiples: consideration includes stock: the cash figure is not the price
Energy Transfer LP
Strategic
Energy$2.8bn7.7x1.1x
n.a.
DEFM14A
Includes stock
Fibrocell Science, Inc.
2019-09-12 · Public merger · $3.00 a share
Castle Creek Pharmaceutical Holdings, Inc.
Strategic
Healthcare$16m4.2xn.a.
63%
63% to VWAP
DEFM14A
All cash
United Community Financial Corp
2019-09-09 · Public merger · $9.78 a share
Held out of the multiples: consideration includes stock: the cash figure is not the price
First Defiance Financial Corp.
Strategic
Financials$443mn.a.n.a.
2%
DEFM14A
Includes stock
Mam Software Group, Inc.
2019-08-30 · Public merger · $12.12 a share
Kerridge Commercial Systems Group Limited
Strategic
Technology$152m29.2x4.0x
14%
DEFM14C
All cash
Ecology & Environment Inc
2019-08-28 · Public merger · $15.00 a share
WSP Global Inc.
Strategic
Business Services$5mn.a.0.1x
48%
DEFM14A
All cash
SRC Energy Inc.
2019-08-25 · Public merger · $3.99 a share
Held out of the multiples: consideration includes stock: the cash figure is not the price
PDC Energy Inc.
Strategic
Energy$944m3.3x1.3x
n.a.
DEFM14A
Includes stock
Vmware LLC
2019-08-22 · Public merger · $15.00 a share
Held out of the multiples: consideration includes stock: the cash figure is not the price
Raven Transaction Sub, Inc.
Strategic
Technology$7.2bn2.6x0.8x
n.a.
DEFM14C
Includes stock
Industrial Property Trust
2019-08-20 · Public merger · $12.51 a share
Held out of the multiples: consideration includes stock: the cash figure is not the price
Prologis, L.P.
Strategic
Real Estaten.a.n.a.n.a.
n.a.
DEFM14A
Includes stock
Bancorp of New Jersey, Inc.
2019-08-15 · Public merger · $16.25 a share
Held out of the multiples: consideration includes stock: the cash figure is not the price
ConnectOne Bancorp, Inc.
Strategic
Financials$32mn.a.n.a.
n.a.
DEFM14A
Includes stock
Caesars Holdings, Inc.
2019-08-15 · Public merger · $8.40 a share
Held out of the multiples: consideration includes stock: the cash figure is not the price
Eldorado Resorts, Inc.
Strategic
Consumer & Retail$13bn6.8x1.5x
n.a.
DEFM14A
Includes stock
Presidio, Inc.
2019-08-14 · Public merger · $16.60 a share
BCEC — Port Holdings, LP
Strategic
Industrials$2.1bn11.1x0.7x
9%
DEFM14A
All cash
Two River Bancorp
2019-08-09 · Public merger · $5.38 a share
Held out of the multiples: consideration includes stock: the cash figure is not the price
OceanFirst Financial Corp.
Strategic
Financials-$23mn.a.-17.9x
50%
DEFM14A
Includes stock
Corindus Vascular Robotics, Inc.
2019-08-07 · Public merger · $4.28 a share
Siemens Medical Solutions USA, Inc.
Strategic
Healthcare$873mn.a.57.5x
77%
DEFM14A
All cash
Vitamin Shoppe, Inc.
2019-08-07 · Public merger · $6.50 a share
Franchise Group, Inc.
Strategic
Consumer & Retail$142m3.5x0.1x
43%
59% to VWAP
DEFM14A
All cash
Cambrex Corp
2019-08-07 · Public merger · $60.00 a share
Catalog Intermediate Inc.
Strategic
Healthcare$2.5bn18.8x4.4x
47%
DEFM14A
All cash
Avedro Inc
2019-08-07 · Public merger · $27.40 a share
Held out of the multiples: consideration includes stock: the cash figure is not the price
Glaukos Corporation, Inc.
Strategic
Healthcare$432mn.a.n.a.
n.a.
DEFM14A
Includes stock
Steadfast Income REIT, Inc.
2019-08-05 · Public merger · $10.24 a share
Held out of the multiples: consideration includes stock: the cash figure is not the price
Steadfast Apartment REIT, Inc.
Strategic
Real Estate$1.1bnn.a.8.5x
n.a.
DEFM14A
Includes stock
Gannett Media Corp.
2019-08-05 · Public merger · $6.25 a share
Held out of the multiples: consideration includes stock: the cash figure is not the price
New Media
Strategic
Media & Telecom$648m3.1x0.2x
37%
DEFM14A
Includes stock
Navigant Consulting Inc
2019-08-02 · Public merger · $28.00 a share
Sub entered into by the Company on August 2
Strategic
Business Services$986m16.4x1.2x
17%
19% to VWAP
DEFM14A
All cash

How to use a set like this

Cut to the narrowest set that still holds eight or ten deals, then quote the range rather than the median. An interviewer who asks where software takes out will accept a spread and press on a single number, because the single number implies a precision the set does not have. Say which deals sit at each end and why: the top of a range is usually a contested auction or a strategic buyer with synergies, the bottom a controlling holder buying in the minority.

Premiums move with the reference price, not only with the deal. A bidder quotes the period that flatters the offer, so read the premium to the unaffected close beside the premium to the thirty-day average and notice when they diverge.

What each column means

Enterprise value.
Offer per share times shares outstanding, plus net debt at the last balance sheet before the merger agreement. It is blank where either piece was missing, and those rows are in the “not computed” band rather than in a size they never earned.
Premium.
The offer against the unaffected price, which is the last close before the deal became known. Where the filing states a premium to the thirty-day volume-weighted average, that is shown next to it.
Deal type.
A take-private is bought by an affiliate, which is what triggers the Schedule 13E-3 and the fuller disclosure that comes with it. A public merger is an arm’s-length buyer, disclosed through the merger proxy.
In doubt.
A cross-check the reading could not satisfy: an equity value far from the fee-table figure, a multiple outside any sane band, or consideration that is partly stock so the per-share cash figure is not the price. The row stays visible, and it is set aside only for the measures the doubt reaches. A cash-and-stock deal cannot price a multiple and still states a premium the filing itself computed, so it counts in one and not the other.

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