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Valuation

What a business is worth, which assumption the answer rests on, and where the number comes from.

  • FrameworkValuationVideo located

    A DCF is machinery for one sentence: value is the present value of expected cash flows

    Every cell in a DCF is a claim about future cash or about its risk; if you cannot say which, the cell should not be there.

    The first DCF question in any interview, and whenever a model has grown so large that nobody can say what it is for.

    From Session 3: Intrinsic and DCF Valuation — Laying the Groundwork · Aswath Damodaran (NYU Stern)

  • TechniqueValuationLetter located

    A sum of the parts shows what a take-private bid is paying nothing for

    Value each part a bidder is acquiring; what the bid leaves at zero is the argument against it.

    Take-private analysis, fairness opinions, conglomerate valuation and any activist defence of a holding.

    From Southeastern Asset Management's letter to the Dell board (February 2013) · Mason Hawkins and Staley Cates

  • ArgumentDeals and M&AVideo located

    Accretion is arithmetic; whether a deal was worth doing is a different question

    Answer accretion with arithmetic and value with evidence, and never let the first stand in for the second.

    Any M&A interview, any accretion-dilution question, and any board case where accretion is offered as the reason to proceed.

    From Session 25: Acquisition, a Value Destroyer? · Aswath Damodaran (NYU Stern)

  • FrameworkAccountingDocumentary

    An adjusted metric is an argument about what should not count

    Judge an adjustment by whether an owner of the whole business would also get to ignore the cost.

    Reading any earnings release, pitch deck or S-1 that leads with a non-GAAP measure.

    From WeWork: Or the Making and Breaking of a $47 Billion Unicorn · 2021

  • FrameworkCapital allocationLetter located

    Earnings growth is return on capital times reinvestment, which is the AI spending question

    Spending is only growth if the return on it exceeds the cost; estimate the return under several assumptions before admiring the spend.

    Any capital-intensive growth story, the AI capital expenditure debate, and valuation of a company reinvesting most of its cash flow.

    From Hayden Capital's Q2 2026 letter, on the "SaaS-pocalypse" and returns on reinvestment · Fred Liu

  • FrameworkValuationBook

    Every forecast row is a sentence about the business

    A forecast is a story written in numbers; if a row cannot be said as a sentence about the business, it should not be in the model.

    Building or defending a DCF, writing a stock pitch, or reviewing someone else's model.

    From Narrative and Numbers · Aswath Damodaran

  • TechniqueCreditVideo located

    How much debt is the right amount: the cost-of-capital approach

    The right amount of debt minimises the blended cost of capital; the maximum a lender will provide is a different and larger number.

    LBO and leveraged finance questions on how much debt a deal can carry, and corporate finance questions on capital structure.

    From Session 18: Optimum Capital Structure — The Cost of Capital Approach · Aswath Damodaran (NYU Stern)

  • TechniqueActivism and governanceLetter

    Activist margin arithmetic: headcount, cost per head and incremental margin, line by line

    Build a margin case from countable inputs, headcount, cost per head and incremental margin on growth, so that every disagreement is about a number.

    Activist situations, any margin expansion thesis, and the interview question of how you would improve a company's profitability.

    From Starboard Value's letter to Autodesk shareholders on margins and board change · Jeffrey Smith

  • FrameworkInvestingBook located

    Price is what the market offers you today. Value is the separate question

    Decide what a business is worth before looking at the price, then act only when the price is far enough below.

    Any stock pitch, any conversation about whether a market move is a reason to act, and any valuation that starts from the price.

    From The Intelligent Investor · Benjamin Graham

  • ArgumentAccountingVideo located

    Stock-based compensation is an operating expense that costs no cash and dilutes you anyway

    Treat stock compensation as a cost of doing business; either deduct it from cash flow or count the dilution, and never ignore it twice.

    Any technology company valuation, any adjusted EBITDA reconciliation, and the interview question about non-cash charges.

    From Session 5: Accounting Inconsistencies · Aswath Damodaran (NYU Stern)

  • TechniqueDeals and M&AVideo located

    Synergies are worth something only once they are valued rather than asserted

    A synergy is a change in cash flow, growth or risk; value it as one, and only then compare it with the premium being paid.

    M&A interviews that ask how to value synergies, and any deal where the premium is justified by them.

    From Session 12: Acquisition Ornaments — Synergy, Control & Complexity · Aswath Damodaran (NYU Stern)

  • TechniqueValuationVideo located

    Terminal value is usually most of the answer, and most of the risk

    Check what share of the value is terminal and what multiple the terminal assumptions imply; those two checks catch most broken DCFs.

    Any DCF review, any interview follow-up on the terminal growth rate, and any model where the answer seems too sensitive to the last year.

    From Session 9: Terminal Value · Aswath Damodaran (NYU Stern)

  • TechniqueValuationLetter located

    Orange and Blue: a two-part intrinsic value that decides whether to buy back or issue

    Publish the method for intrinsic value, then let it decide: buy back below it, issue above it, and keep the multiple consistent so the method cannot flatter.

    Valuing a holding company or an insurer with an investment portfolio, and any discussion of how management should decide on buybacks.

    From Markel Group's 2023 letter to business partners · Thomas Gayner

  • FrameworkCapital allocationLetter located

    What is smart at one price is dumb at another: the two tests before a buyback

    A buyback creates value only with funds to spare and a price well below intrinsic value; above that price the same action destroys it.

    Any capital allocation question, any company announcing a buyback, and private equity interviews on value creation.

    From Berkshire Hathaway's 2011 letter to shareholders · Warren Buffett