Catalyst Monitor

Track the events that will prove your thesis right or wrong — before they happen.

Seat

ER/HF

Level

Analyst / Associate

Runtime

~20 min

Output

Catalyst calendar + monitoring plan with triggers

What this helps you accomplish

Turn a thesis into a monitoring plan: dated catalysts, the data that leads each one, thresholds that trigger action, and a cadence for re-checking. The difference between having a view and running a position.

Delegate · Verify · Decide

The core L3VLUP principle: AI output is never automatically correct. Know what to hand off, what to check, and what only you can own.

Delegate

AI is good enough to do this.

  • Compiling dated events from IR calendars and filings
  • Tracking indicator updates on cadence
  • Flagging when a monitored metric crosses a threshold

Verify

AI accelerates you here, but a professional checks the work.

  • Event dates from primary sources — conference dates move
  • Threshold breaches are real, not data glitches

Decide

Judgment the human owns. This is the skill.

  • The thresholds themselves and the action at each
  • Whether a missed catalyst wounds or kills the thesis
  • When monitoring says exit — and honouring it

Inputs required

  • The thesis and position (or pitch)
  • Time horizon
  • Kill criteria if already defined

The workflow

  1. 1

    List the catalysts

    Earnings, product events, regulatory dates, competitor prints, macro releases — everything dated that touches the thesis.

  2. 2

    Map leading indicators

    What data leaks ahead of each catalyst? Channel checks, web data, peer results, pre-announcements.

  3. 3

    Set the triggers

    For each catalyst: what outcome confirms, what kills, and what you’ll DO in each case. Decide now, not in the moment.

  4. 4

    Build the calendar

    Dated list with owner, source and check cadence.

  5. 5

    Schedule the reviews

    A thesis unreviewed for a quarter is a stale thesis. Fix the cadence.

Run this skill

Subject
Perspective
Sources
Output
Run

Any listed company, anywhere. Ticker or name.

Quality checklist

The output isn’t done until every box ticks.

  • Every catalyst has date, trigger and pre-decided action
  • Kill criteria embedded, not separate
  • Next review date exists

Practise the fundamentals first

Free, no sign-up — in the Labs.

Relevant for:Hedge Fund
Next skill: Earnings Teardown