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How inflation comes down

Supply shocks fade on their own; policy decides whether expectations and demand let them.

1 idea that carry it

  • ArgumentMacro and ratesResearch

    Did rate hikes bring inflation down, or did the shocks fade? The careful answer is both

    Supply shocks faded on their own; the hikes anchored expectations so the fading could happen. Credit both, in that order.

    Macro and rates interviews, and any debate about central bank credibility.

    From The contribution of monetary policy to disinflation · Pongpitch Amatyakul, Fiorella De Fiore, Marco Lombardi, Benoit Mojon and Daniel Rees, Bank for International Settlements (BIS Bulletin No 82)