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Concepts

The anatomy of a bubble

Displacement, boom, euphoria, distress, revulsion. The same sequence across four centuries, needing marketable assets, money and speculation together.

2 ideas that carry it

  • FrameworkCrises and market historyBook

    A bubble needs marketability, money and credit, and speculation together

    Check all three legs, marketability, cheap money and a population buying for resale, before calling something a bubble.

    Answering whether a current market is a bubble, or explaining why some overvalued assets never become one.

    From Boom and Bust · William Quinn and John D. Turner

  • FrameworkCrises and market historyBook

    Every bubble runs displacement, boom, euphoria, distress, revulsion

    Ask where a market is in the sequence rather than whether it is a bubble; the stages are more recognisable than the verdict.

    Any market history question, any debate about whether a current theme is overdone, and macro interviews.

    From Manias, Panics, and Crashes · Charles P. Kindleberger