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Concepts

How an activist builds a case

Relative performance, a worked valuation of what remains, a cost or margin bridge, and a governance failure to pin it on.

5 ideas that carry it

  • Case studyDeals and M&AFilm

    A management buyout puts the seller on both sides of the table

    In a management buyout the insider is the buyer, so the board's job is to make the market, not take the offer.

    Any take-private, management-led bid, or fairness question in M&A and private equity interviews.

    From Barbarians at the Gate · 1993

  • TechniqueValuationLetter located

    A sum of the parts shows what a take-private bid is paying nothing for

    Value each part a bidder is acquiring; what the bid leaves at zero is the argument against it.

    Take-private analysis, fairness opinions, conglomerate valuation and any activist defence of a holding.

    From Southeastern Asset Management's letter to the Dell board (February 2013) · Mason Hawkins and Staley Cates

  • Case studyActivism and governanceLetter located

    An activist turns bidder when the public market has not worked

    A take-private proposal is a complete case: the public record that failed, the price, the premium, the financing and the timetable, in that order.

    Take-private analysis, premium questions, and private equity interviews on how a deal is proposed.

    From Elliott Management's letter to the athenahealth board proposing a take-private (May 2018) · Jesse Cohn

  • TechniqueActivism and governanceLetter

    Activist margin arithmetic: headcount, cost per head and incremental margin, line by line

    Build a margin case from countable inputs, headcount, cost per head and incremental margin on growth, so that every disagreement is about a number.

    Activist situations, any margin expansion thesis, and the interview question of how you would improve a company's profitability.

    From Starboard Value's letter to Autodesk shareholders on margins and board change · Jeffrey Smith

  • TechniqueDeals and M&ALetter located

    The acquired brand's market share is the cleanest test of an acquisition

    Judge an acquisition by what happened to the acquired brand's share of its market afterwards; the number is public and hard to argue with.

    Post-deal assessment, consumer and brand coverage, and any activist case built on competitive evidence rather than financial engineering.

    From Trian's July 2017 letter to Procter & Gamble shareholders · Trian Fund Management